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My strategy for this year!!!

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Postby BrutallyHuge » Tue Mar 28, 2006 8:09 pm

I draft big name aging/retired veterans.

This year I'm targeting Priest Holmes, Marshall Faulk, Kurt Warner, Keenan McCardell, Terrell Davis, Sterling & Shannon Sharpe, and Brett Favre (only if he retires).
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Postby mattb47 » Tue Mar 28, 2006 8:11 pm

BrutallyHuge wrote:I draft big name aging/retired veterans.

This year I'm targeting Priest Holmes, Marshall Faulk, Kurt Warner, Keenan McCardell, Terrell Davis, Sterling & Shannon Sharpe, and Brett Favre (only if he retires).


Holy crap....that's one hell of a team....don't want to be in your league this year. 8-o
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Postby olympia0731 » Tue Mar 28, 2006 8:12 pm

mattb47 wrote:
BrutallyHuge wrote:I draft big name aging/retired veterans.

This year I'm targeting Priest Holmes, Marshall Faulk, Kurt Warner, Keenan McCardell, Terrell Davis, Sterling & Shannon Sharpe, and Brett Favre (only if he retires).


Holy crap....that's one hell of a team....don't want to be in your league this year. 8-o


LOL ;-D

Does anyone have any thoughts about the Adp part of the process.

THE TARGET PLAYER PART?

Thanks guys, you are amazing ;-D
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Postby GreatestShowOnEarth » Tue Mar 28, 2006 8:20 pm

flotsamnjetsam wrote:
mattb47 wrote:I use VBD and AVT as parts of my draft strategy. But in all honesty they play a very small role in my draft day choices. I have a good idea in my head where I want to take certain people and I make a draft sheet based upon that each year, but actually for the most part I just wing it. I rarely go by my cheat sheet exactly except for maybe the first couple of rounds. I might glance at the VBD or AVT but for the most part, it's all from my own point of view.


What he said. ;-D


thats exactly what i do. I go by my gut feeling more than anything. If you put in enough time and research i think that is one of the better draft "strategies"
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Postby mysticphysh » Tue Mar 28, 2006 8:21 pm

This past year, I made a cheat sheet of the top 10 players in each position based on stats the past few years....and didn't really use it. It gave me a good sense of who to pick, but I didn't go down the list picking the next available player. I just went with my gut on who is the next available player based on their past performances and current situations.
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Postby knapplc » Tue Mar 28, 2006 8:45 pm

I like the thought you're putting into this, but I think you're going to too much work.

I think it's easy to over-analyze numbers, and I think you're doing that with this method.

Most of the usual outlets (The Rotos of the world, ESPN, CBS, etc) use systems like this for their predictions. You can make a decent cheat sheet by taking their sheets and averaging them to get a result. This is what I've been doing for years, and I've had some pretty good sheets doing it this way. Last season I put together the highest scoring team in the history of my league (17 years), so I can vouch for that method.

You could always just use the Cafe's sheets and save yourself a lot of time, too. ;-)



I'm a fan of numbers, though, so make sure you post your results here before your draft, and let us know what your team looks like after you're all done.
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Postby skibrett15 » Tue Mar 28, 2006 8:52 pm

I really don't think CBS, yahoo, rotoworld use AVT and VBD to do their sheets as those are league dependent rankings, they just go with averages of some employees I'm sure. I like your motivation, I tried to do this a while ago, but got bogged down with all the stats I had to input into excel.
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Postby houstonherdfan » Tue Mar 28, 2006 9:50 pm

BrutallyHuge wrote:I draft big name aging/retired veterans.

This year I'm targeting Priest Holmes, Marshall Faulk, Kurt Warner, Keenan McCardell, Terrell Davis, Sterling & Shannon Sharpe, and Brett Favre (only if he retires).


I'm with him especially in Dynasty leagues.
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Postby Gnu314 » Tue Mar 28, 2006 10:21 pm

Last year I did about 50 or more mock drafts on that sportsline or sporting news website that had mocks firing off every 20 minutes. I found players that I liked and found players that drifted past their value and used that knowledge to draft my teams... I won 1 league and got second in another so I figure it worked out ok. I feel like some of a draft HAS to be organic read and react rather than more strict VBD.
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Postby louisianacajunsam » Wed Mar 29, 2006 12:15 pm

exxaccttlllyy..

t.davis after 99 season (hurt knee during 99)--avg over 97-99 = 1500 total yards, 13 touchdowns season

p.holmes last three years--avg of 1279 total yards, 16 touchdowns a season
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