I took LJ #1 in my recent draft of LT because in my view, he is a much more solid player.
Last year, LT had a few INSANE games at the beginning, scoring with rushes, receptions and even passes. I thought he was going to demolish every team I faced by himself!
....the came the middle of the season. All of the sudden just numbers dropped, to the point of not knowing whether to start him or not, and getting burned when I did. All the while, SA and LJ were racking up 4x as many points as him weekly.
When I drafted my team I was looking for a more solid RB that I know I can count on each week, not one who is capable of putting up 300 yards with 4 TDs one week and 89 yards 0 TDs later in the season.
**If LT gets hurt again, it will be a guessing game as to whether or not to start him each week. If he doesnt perform well one week it could ruin my season with a loss in the playoffs. And with San Diego relying on him for SO MUCH in the early part of the season with Rivers still learning, he will take a major beating in the first half of the season. He can only carry the offense for so long until he collapses.
There was one major aspect of LJ that put him above LT in my mind. He has the best handcuffs of anyone. If LJ goes down with a broken spine in the first game, I still will have drafted Priest Holmes 'just in case'. So I lose Larry Johnson? That sucks, but its not going to ruin my season like losing SA or LT would. I'll have one of the best RunningBacks in the last 5 years as my new starter!
I see people posting that LJ is only good when he has fresh legs, and in the same post they argue that Priest will take carries away from him! I wouldnt mind a few carries every once in a while being stolen if it makes LJ fresh come playoff-time.
When it comes down to my #1 pick its LJ all the way. I feel more comfortable with him leading me into the beginning of the playoffs, and I also think that when handcuffed to Priest Holmes his risk factor goes WAY down.