So you have the first pick...

[Dan Lambskin]

i'll take alexander because i rode his scoring barrage all year last year to the championship. that's why. loyalty.

and i feel like his situation has the least amount of ???

last 2 years for me...and one of the years he won me 2 leagues, so yeah, i have the loyalty/man-crush thing going too

[biju]

If you want to introduce the schedule into the fray then you have to factor in the odds of these teams winning thier divisions. The C-Hacks have a decided advantage in thier division and should have it cinched by week 15 or 16. That could mean that SA has a much higher risk of having reduced stats.
KC and SD will be more likely to be in a dogfight all year and will have to have their big guns all game. Edge LJ and LT.

That's a good point, but also keep in mind that fighting for that first round bye could come into play too. Add in that the Seahawks are up against the AFC West this year and you might get a situation where winning the last game or two of the season means having an additional week during the playoffs to rest.

This, of course, is all contingent on them not suffering the "Superbowl loser" curse and not already being out of contention. (I doubt this will happen, but you have to throw that in there)

[disgruntledjetsfan]

Larry Johnson. The upside is just too ridiculous for me to not take him, and I'm too greedy to take the safest pick (which would be shaun alexander, me thinks).

[biju]

Larry Johnson. The upside is just too ridiculous for me to not take him, and I'm too greedy to take the safest pick (which would be shaun alexander, me thinks).

He's certainly the homerun pick if he can keep up those numbers over a full season. I'm also saying Alexander merely as the homer pick. If I was actually given the 1st overall pick that homer part of me subsides quickly, but I'm not trying to get my hopes up on getting that first overall pick this year. I just hope I can land in the top 3 in one of them.