Dude_202 wrote:First of all, Larry Johnson did have a monster season last year, but he has yet to carry a full load for a whole year. In his 9 straight 100-yard games, that was in the second half of the season where defenses were tired and he still had fresh legs. Who knows if he can hold up after a full year of starting.
In response I'll quote a stat I busted out a few months ago:
Heimholder wrote:LJ got a third of the carries until Priest got hurt, then took the full load after that, for a total of 336 carries and 33 catches. Shaun Alexander had 370 carries and 15 catches.
That's 16 touches less than Alexander. Not even a full game.
The defenses being tired thing is a pretty far stretch also. The other side of the coin is that the second-half defenses have a whole season to prepare for the KC running attack! Also, LJ's whole supporting cast would be more tired and less effective at blocking & drawing defenders.
Basically it comes down to if you believe the possibility of LJ's stats projecting over a full season is worth sacrificing SA's consistency. I say heck yes!