Ok... he's one of my favorite players. He played at Pitt while I was there for law school. He had a great season last year. But I think the expectations are a bit too high for this year.
Edge will take away WR completions (and more importantly, TDs). Boldin missed a few games last year and still managed comparable stats to Fitz. Oline sucks, and their starting RT is out for a few months. So what on earth makes anyone think Fitz can reproduce 1400/10 stats again this year?
THrow in the fact that if Kurt Warner proves as brittle as he has been in the past, Fitz will have a rookie QB (Leinart) throwing him the ball. Those growing pains will hurt Fitz' stats.
Yeah, he has a lot of things going against him and frankly I dont think hes gonna be as good as a lot of people are expecting (not because of his talent but because of the team hes on.) I avoid him, as well as Boldin in drafts. The only player i'll take on the Cards is Edge and thats if he falls, which he has a few times.
You can't double Fitz when you have to worry about Boldin, I think the addition of Edge, will make Fitz even better, cause now defenses also have to worry about Edge catching balls. JMO
I think Boldin is the true #1 on the team. Fitz is going to score more touchdowns, probably getting up into the double digits, but I have a hard time seeing him repeating his total numbers from last year. Even with 100 receptions and only 10 TDs, Fitz has this rep as a big TD guy. I'm in that camp, but I see his receptions and yardage taking a moderate hit due to the offensive philsophy changes.
Last year it wasn't as apparent who was the #1 in any given game. Boldin would 8 or 9 catches a game and Fitz getting 6 or 7 with either of them going for the occasional 10+. Fitz was more likely to a score a TD in any given week, so even with as the "WR2" in any given week he could seem like the #1. And with the huge passing attempt numbers, both guys were being targeted like goto #1 WR on other teams.
But Arizona is just not going to pass the ball 630 times again this year. And you have to remember that Boldin missed a couple games, yet he still amassed the same catch total and yardage numbers as Fitz. This year I think it could be closer to 6 or 7 catches a game for Boldin and 4 or 5 for Fitz with the occasional 10 for either. It may not be totally apparent who the #1 is, but I think the year long stats will be slightly telling.
Fitz did well with Warner and McCown last year, and Leinart is perhaps the most NFL-ready QB to come out of the draft in years, so I really don't care who is throwing him the ball. The problem would be if that defense gets a lot better, and the Cardinals start playing with the lead too often, but I doubt that's going to happen either. They're still a year away from being a serious contender.
Being that he's easiyl just as talented as Boldin, and Denny Green's favorite adopted son, I'm willing to bet Fitz has a huge role in that offense. Plus, he's been able to stay healthier than Boldin, who I also think will have a great fantasy year, hence I'd rank Fitz at least the #3 WR in any scoring format.