I think ADP is way too high. It's like everyone thinks his only risks will be his recovery from injury.
There are other factors, namely, where Rod Smith is in his career and at what point he begins to decline, and how the running game shakes out. Walker is talented enough to put up 1200+ yards and 10+ TDs, or more, but it's a risk.
I feel Roy Williams, and Chester Taylor, are very intriguing picks. Taylor is going to a team that has drasctically improved their offensive line. The vikings also seem committed to the run. The downside is Taylor has never carried the full load for 16 games.
Williams on the other hand has always been an immensly talented receiver, with an injury history. Though williams has never amassed yardage totals to warrant a high pick he has had a nose for the end zone. You can say what you want about Mike Martz as a head coach, as an offensive coordinator he will move the ball, and put alot of points on the board.
It seems that Taylor is going late 2nd or early third in a 12 team redraft, and Williams is going about a round later. My gut tells me that they will outperform their draft position.
I love R Williams this year. He's got NFL talent, for sure. He finished well last season. Martz will throw the ball and Kitna is an upgrade at QB. And it's Roy's third year in the league and WRs seem to come into their own in their third year.
The Balanced Man wrote:I gotta vote for Mike Bell.
He could be a top 5 RB in Denver, or he could start 2 games and sit the rest of the year.
I agree but I think he'll play as long as he is healthy. For a guy to come out of nowhere (literally, undrafted FA) to take the starting RB job in Denver a week into TC, he must be peforming very well.
Only an injury slows him down. The same goes for Foster. He'll start and produce well all year unless he gets hurt.
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Dont think anyone has mentioned D. Foster Carolinas RB. If he stays healthy(LOL) he could be top 10 or better RB, but most people will stay away from him because of the risk. If you need help at RB/Flex you might get him with a fairly late pick I think I got him in the fifth or sixth round something like that, and if you handcuff him with D. Williams you should be looking good. I think Foster is one of the biggest boom/bust candidates this year.
it doesnt appear that this is round specific, so does Aaron Brooks fit the bill? Had an auto draft the landed me Chris Simms as my starter at QB.....fellow owner has Tom B, C palmer, M hasselback and A brooks. Dont mean to stray from the post....
"Trust in the LORD with all thine heart and lean not to thine understanding"
To me Kurt Warner is is high risk/high reward player. He has the potential to put up big numbers in the Arizona offense but can he stay healthy for the whole season???