Free Bagel wrote:Is Duckett even good at goalline carries? People just equate big with good around the goalline, but I recall seeing quite a bit of Warrick Dunn in the game inside the 10 over the last few years and he's the smallest starting RB in the league (9 TDs for Dunn in 2005), and now Duckett is headed to a team who's coach and OC have zero history of ever using a goalline RB, and it's not like Portis hasn't been banged up before (his whole career really) and still gotten the goalline work every stop of the way.
warrick dunn had 9 TDs in 2004.. only 3 last year
and I'm not looking too deep into the statistics, but yes, duckett has been used as a goalline back for a while now with ATL and used fairly well...
in 2005, duckett and dunn each had 15 carries on 1st/2nd/3rd and goal downs... dunn had a very slight edge on ypc but only had 1 TD compared to 7 TDs for duckett.. additionally, duckett is clearly being utilized by ATL more frequently in goalline situations than the rest of the field as his ratio of carries is 1:1 with dunn in the above situations while just 106 carries to 265 carries for dunn on all other downs
I think duckett was hurt part of 2004 and dunn was hurt part of 2003... duckett got 7 TDs to 1 TD for dunn in 2003 in the above situations and both had 5 TDs apiece in 2004 in these downs
duckett has had 27 rushing TDs the past 3 seasons... I doubt there are all that many backs who can boast these numbers.. I'd be highly surprised if he didn't get his share of TDs this season (probably in the 5-8 range even with portis healthy) not to mention his share of non-goalline carries.. every backup is going to spell a starter for some carries and I'm not saying duckett will take that many more than another backup but I don't see how portis doesn't get at least slightly downgraded due to the duckett pickup..