by Kensat30 » Sat Sep 23, 2006 9:55 pm
The guy I would buy low on right now is Byron Leftwich simply because of the WR situation in Jacksonville. They have three different guys that are gonna be major factors in splitting the yards and TDs. This makes Leftwich attractive, in that if he loses one of these guys, he can continue with the same type of production. And even if three different WRs have moderate performances 50-60 yards each, Leftwich can still have a good fantasy performance.
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Breaking down the WRs, the first thing I see is that Matt Jones is going to be the 1,000/10+ player on this team when all is said and done. I think he is doing about what most people expected him to do up until now, but I feel that the breakout will be felt once he starts getting regularly into the endzone. Right now it is anything but clear, but I feel that the team is setting him up to the clear cut #1 WR by the end of the year.
Reggie Williams is doing a lot more than everyone expected him to at this point. And Wilford is doing less than what most people expected. I really see these two guys' futures affecting each other depending on how they perform. Let me explain:
Figure that Matt Jones is going to get his playing time no matter what happens with Wilford and Williams. His skill set and athletic ability allow him to be used a x-factor type player who can run at the RB/QB/WR. He is the type of guy you are gonna put on the field as much as possible. That really only leaves 1 WR that can even potentially win a full-time position, and Reggie Williams is just playing too well for Wilford to win that slot right now. As it stands right now, it looks to me like:
WR2a- Matt Jones
WR2b- Reggie Williams
WR2c- Ernest Wilford
The Jag's WRs are really a unique situation in that they rotate 3 guys into the 2 starting spots rather than just keeping 2 guys in all the time, and bringing in a 3rd guy in the slot. Kinda similar to what Seattle does (before the Branch signing), but they lack the true #1 in Darrell Jackson. I expect this to work itself out in Matt Jones' favor as the season progresses, and then Wilford and Williams will continue to split time as the season goes on.
Barring an injury to Jones(questionable this week) or Williams, I really don't see Wilford as anything more than a spot starting bench player for fantasy. Simple fact of fantasy, if you are not on the field full time, you are not worth a start.