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Leinart's statline vs. Oakland

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Leinart's statline vs. Oakland

Postby KasT » Wed Oct 18, 2006 6:23 pm

I was going through all the QB's stats against Oakland thus far and an interesting trend starts to show it's head:

Phillip Rivers // 108 YDS // 1 TD // 0 INT
Steve McNair // 143 YDS // 1 TD // 1 INT
Charlie Frye // 192 YDS // 3 TD // 2 INT
Alex Smith // 165 YDS // 3 TD // 1 INT
Jake Plummer//102 YDS // 0 TD // 0 INT

Now make note that all of these QB's are less than stellar fantasy options. The fact that teams are taking early leads are draining the QB's total YDS against this team. That being said, any QB going up against them is almost guaranteed to throw a TD or two against them. Also what seems to be happening is a false sense of security in that the chances are high that at least one interception will be thrown.

If the trend continues, those who are using Leinart this week should expect a stat line close to the following:

142 YDS // 2 TD // 1 INT (12 to 13 fantasy pts in my league)

I'll be playing him this week as my options are limited.
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Postby u_fig_eater » Wed Oct 18, 2006 6:56 pm

Good analysis. Yeah, according to reports I've heard, the reason why they suck so bad is mainly for offensive reasons, and their defense is actually decent.
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Postby eaglesrule » Wed Oct 18, 2006 7:01 pm


Both interesting and useful.

I was planning on starting leinart (brees is on bye and I had to make another trade)

Might reconsider now.
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Postby Amazing Oopah » Wed Oct 18, 2006 7:30 pm

I don't know, I have a feeling he'll go over 200 yards in this game for sure.

No evidence for that, just a hunch ;-D
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Postby LS2throwed » Wed Oct 18, 2006 7:43 pm

those stats are skewed and misleading....

another misleading fact is that the oakland raiders have the #1 passing offense....

no why?

because everyone runs the ball all game vs oakland, and the rb's have the best games vs them and teams get up so early, its no need to pass...

once you get a 14 point lead, passing is really pointless, thats why the rb's have the best play vs them....regardless, leinart should have 2 td's and no picks, over 175 yds, solid game none the less....

but expect edge to get some scores though
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Postby TheFilthySide » Wed Oct 18, 2006 7:43 pm

Except for perhaps Cleveland and Baltimore, all of the teams that Oakland's faced run the ball very well. But I think it's also true that Cle and Bal, despite their poor ground games, rush it better than the Cards. So there a probability that Leinart will have to throw more than those teams did against Oakland for the Cards to move the ball.

Of course, if they do get out to a lead, they may pack it in and run. Look at the Chicago game. Didn't they keep running Edge despite him getting less than 2 yards a carry? They rushed him almost 40 times. I think you have a point but I also see reasons to expect Leinart to get 250 and 2.
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Postby euclid530 » Wed Oct 18, 2006 8:42 pm

i think oakland keeps this game closer than people think

oaklands winless and their schedule is pretty tough so they will probably be really gunning for the win here to avoid going 0-10 or worse
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Postby Steve-o » Wed Oct 18, 2006 9:31 pm

You have to also consider Ari's recent change in Offensive co-ordinator. I believe that the last one was fired for relying too heavily on the running game. Nothing to back that up, just a feeling that the team/ownership was frustrated by the lack of aggression. I wouldn't be surprised if the new guy, who is the QB coach, lets it fly a little this weekend.

I think he goes 250+/2/2. Oak's corners are surprisingly underrated IMO.
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Postby Vikes Rule 88 » Wed Oct 18, 2006 9:41 pm

I wouldnt count on ARI trying to "run it out" after last week.

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Postby Crippler » Wed Oct 18, 2006 9:46 pm

The reason they are a good team to play against is because their defense is on the field 90% of the game. Their offense goes 3 and out all the time, leaving the opposing offense tons of time to score and rack up fantasy pts.

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