VaderFin wrote:The problem with Chambers is he is being double covered every single time he lines up, no matter where it is on the field. And why not who else do the Fins have? This results in dump off passes to Brown, Welker and McMichael. Then, on the odd occasion Chambers is able to beat the double coverage and be wide open the QB can't get the ball to him where he can catch it. Frustrating as a Fins fan to say the least.
The coverage has nothing to do with it. Joey Harrington has been Mariucci'ed. He prefers to throw the short patterns, and infact leans on the short patterns like a crutch.
Besides that main deficiency, Chambers has two other important factors going against him.
#1 Which I stated earlier, was that Harrington's deep ball is just plain ugly. He is a like a pitcher from the movie Major League with a 95 mph fastball that he can't consistently get it over the plate. Somebody get Harrington a pair of glasses and see if that helps. When Harrington hucks it downfield, you've got an equal chance that Harrington is going to hit the WR or the assistant sideline cameraman in the hands.
#2- Chambers doesn't have the best hands anyways. The guy is a sub 50% catch rate WR who thrives on the deep ball and big play. If you're not delivering it to him when he beats the coverage, he is not going to produce.
So figure the math...
50/50: Harrington is even going to throw the ball deep to Chambers in the first place if he is open, perhaps less or even much less than that.
50/50: Harrington is going to throw an accurate ball.
50/50: Chambers is going to make the play.
Figure Chambers gets the average #1 WR targets week in and week out (about 10 give or take). We'll ignore the Mariucci factor and figure that Chambers will get his fair share of short passes as well. Then factor in Harrington as a QB and you can predict about 5 or 6 catchable balls a game. Factor in the Chambers lack of true hands and you result in a 2 or 3 catch game week to week. Percentage is also leaning towards him NOT making that big play that us fantasy owners crave.
Basically what the math is telling us here, is that Chambers needs about 20 targets a game (#1 in the league type targets) in order to be a consistently productive WR with Harrington under center. Harrington threw the ball 60+ times last week, and Chambers came away with 8 targets. Is it too late to trade Chambers on name value alone?