BigMusky wrote:I have owned Bulger for many seasons and he just never seems to have good games, on the road, outdoors against good defenses. If he shows up this week, i would consider him must start going forward...
his split stats support this: Indoor 3:1 TD/INT ratio, Outdoor 1:1 TD/INT similiar stats apply to home/road ratio...passer rating also 20pts lower for both.
Here are all his outdoor games the past 3 years.
Week2 @ SF- 19/34/185/1/0, I was at this game, and Bulger and the Ram's offense were still way off on adjusting to the new offense. Wrong routes, overthrows, etc. Chalk this one up to adjusting to a new system. Week 3 they started getting it together.
Week6 @ GB- 18/28/220/2/0
Week1 @ SF- 34/56/362/2/1, I was at this game, and it was a total shooout. Bulger passed at will on us.
Week2 @ Ari- 18/29/216/1/1
Week4 @ NYG- 40/62/442/2/3
Week10 @ Sea- 28/40/304/1/1
Week4 @ SF- 17/25/186/1/0, I was at this game, and the Ram's running game dominated us. I remember because it was my first impression of Steven Jackson and I came away impressed. I think they ran the ball 40+ times? Bulger didn't have to pass, wasn't the conditions here.
Week5 @ Sea- 24/42/325/3/3
Week7 @ Mia- 23/39/295/1/1
Week 11 @ Buf - 27/45/287/2/3
Week 12 @ GNB- 35/53/448/2/1
I think if you wanna be selective and choose all the "good team" he has faced the stats will skyrocket. Bulger has actually had his worst outdoor road games against the Cardinal's and 49er's and generally they have been considered defensive doormats the past few years.
Anyways onto the conclusions. Over the past 3 years, when Bulger has played on the road in an outdoor stadium we see:
fantasy- 17.48ppg (25/1, +4/-2)
By all means sit Marc Bulger when he goes on the road to an outdoor stadium. Especially when he has had a extra week to gameplan, everyone on the offense is fully rested, the team they are playing is missing 2 key defensive starters and are coming off an emotional defeat. My guess is that there will be almost as many Ram's fans in SD as there are Charger's fans. That is pure speculation on my part, perhaps a Charger's homer can chime in here? I get the feeling that this is going to be one of the highest scoring games in the 2006 NFL season.