New Starters at RB in '07?

[Guru13]

keep in mind there could also be draft picks that outplay current players, although mccalister to houstan is an interesting option, i dont see it- i assume davis will be healthy and playing next year for the texans right?

nah, I'd say his career is pretty much over, sadly, he coulda been absolutely amazing, but the knees are too much to overcome.

[moochman]

I think Fraud is in the last year of his contract so it wouldn't be a surprise to see them turn to Greg Jones and Jones-Drew.

I would look for someone to trade with the Cards for their pick and grab Peterson. The Giants could be a good canidate for that. Tiki is leaving and Jacobs is better suited as the short-yardage specialist than a feature back.

[Kensat30]

Someone is gonna take Adrian Peterson in the Top Five. Zona, Oakland, Lions, Dolphins, TB, and Wash all have solid RBs. NYJ and Cleveland should have a great opportunity to get a top back (Peterson, Lynch, etc.).

Don't know if you've noticed, byt the J.e.t.s. have a good shot at the #6 or even #5 WC. Hell, they could win their division with a little luck. Either way, their pick won't be high. I'd expect them to draft for the defense, especially the secondary.

You don't need a high pick to draft a starting caliber RB. Factor in the injury for Peterson, and I would be very surprised if he wasn't available where the Jet's pick. Honestly, if you hold a top10 draft pick, you are coming off a poor season. Do you really want to build your draft around an injured RB?

[Humpback]

Someone is gonna take Adrian Peterson in the Top Five. Zona, Oakland, Lions, Dolphins, TB, and Wash all have solid RBs. NYJ and Cleveland should have a great opportunity to get a top back (Peterson, Lynch, etc.).

Don't know if you've noticed, byt the J.e.t.s. have a good shot at the #6 or even #5 WC. Hell, they could win their division with a little luck. Either way, their pick won't be high. I'd expect them to draft for the defense, especially the secondary.

You don't need a high pick to draft a starting caliber RB. Factor in the injury for Peterson, and I would be very surprised if he wasn't available where the Jet's pick. Honestly, if you hold a top10 draft pick, you are coming off a poor season. Do you really want to build your draft around an injured RB?

No way AP lasts past pick 5. His injuries will scare off some teams, but if nobody drafting in the top 5 wants him, somebody will trade up to get him. His potential is far too great to drop below that. The Jets right now would be picking in the middle of the 1st round, and still have a few wins left on their schedule- they'll certainly have to trade up if they want a shot at him.

[disgruntledjetsfan]

Someone is gonna take Adrian Peterson in the Top Five. Zona, Oakland, Lions, Dolphins, TB, and Wash all have solid RBs. NYJ and Cleveland should have a great opportunity to get a top back (Peterson, Lynch, etc.).

Don't know if you've noticed, byt the J.e.t.s. have a good shot at the #6 or even #5 WC. Hell, they could win their division with a little luck. Either way, their pick won't be high. I'd expect them to draft for the defense, especially the secondary.

Expect the Jets to draft Lamar Woodley in the first....

[disgruntledjetsfan]

Someone is gonna take Adrian Peterson in the Top Five. Zona, Oakland, Lions, Dolphins, TB, and Wash all have solid RBs. NYJ and Cleveland should have a great opportunity to get a top back (Peterson, Lynch, etc.).

Don't know if you've noticed, byt the J.e.t.s. have a good shot at the #6 or even #5 WC. Hell, they could win their division with a little luck. Either way, their pick won't be high. I'd expect them to draft for the defense, especially the secondary.

You don't need a high pick to draft a starting caliber RB. Factor in the injury for Peterson, and I would be very surprised if he wasn't available where the Jet's pick. Honestly, if you hold a top10 draft pick, you are coming off a poor season. Do you really want to build your draft around an injured RB?

No way AP lasts past pick 5. His injuries will scare off some teams, but if nobody drafting in the top 5 wants him, somebody will trade up to get him. His potential is far too great to drop below that. The Jets right now would be picking in the middle of the 1st round, and still have a few wins left on their schedule- they'll certainly have to trade up if they want a shot at him.

I couldn't agree more. Adrian Peterson's potential is through the roof. He will be a top 5 pick. The Jets have the means to trade up for him, with 2 second round picks this year (one of which will be early 2nd - from Washington), but I doubt that the Jets would put that much into a RB when we clearly need help getting to the QB, and still have room to improve the OLine. As for AP, someone will snatch him up in the top 5.

[TBONED]

First off, this is a great thread...keep it going.

Peterson's injury seemed like a fluke, he fell "IN THE ENDZONE"

[Members Only Jackets]

jacobs will probably start the season as the starter in New York, but I have zero faith in him in as a full-time starter, he just doesn't quite have it.

what makes u think this?

[bigGAME101]

This is long, but bear with me while I try to break it down:

First, few teams will finish worse off than GB, and I see them selecting AD (Adrian Peterson) in the first round, probably at pick 4 or so. (CC I know would would love that).

Houston could select a back, and would be in a better position to do so than GB (most likely) in the draft, so they could very well take AD. However, while AD's injuries are minimally concerning, I doubt HOU takes him when they already have an injury-case in DD. I think they stick with DD, and draft another back in the 2nd round or so. They will focus on O-line (Joe Thomas?) in the first round, as they should have done for the past 3 years.

The Browns are a team in flux. They just extended Droughns last year, but they struggle no matter who runs the ball. The welcome back of LeCharles Bently in addition to a completely healthy Tucker will bolster that line significantly. Whoever runs the ball in CLE will be very decent next year. The Browns have some weaknesses across the D-line, especially in the 3-4 they run. With guys like Gaines Adams and Quinton Moses available in the draft at a high pick, I think they will improve the line first. It is likely they take a Kenny Irons-type early in the second round, and he would be a good value there, and a very solid future prospect (think Dynasty league for the Brown's future back).

I doubt NE picks up the option on Dillon, so Maroney immediately becomes a solid back with huge potential.

JAX has a solid line and Drew is simply fantastic this year. I don't think they will take a back early given their success running the ball this year. The combination of Drew and Greg Jones should compliment each other well once Fraud is gone.

To be honest, I love the Burner Turner, always did, in college and now the pros. Some people don't know that he was the most productive starter in the nation in college and the pros over his junior and senior seasons (and that includes Priest Holmes). This is a case where I think he stays in SD, however, because a valuable backup to LT is, despite popular opinon, absolutely necessary for the Chargers, who will again be a SB contender. No one will pay his tender, and SD won't trade him IMO.

Brandon Jacobs should become a quality back in NY, but his celieing is lower than some of the other guys. He's a brusiser plain an simple, and while he may be fast for his size, he isn't faster than most other starting backs. He will be a 1300, 8TD type guy. I also envision NY finding a compliment back in the mold of Tiki, who will be a 3rd-down specialist.

I think the Jets will get an RB in the first round...And I think that RB will be Michael Bush, who is a freak. That injury won't be a concern to most teams since it was a clean break, and not some ligament or tendon damage. Bell will be a monster in the NFL, and with the Jets O-line improving, he is a prime keeper/dynasty candidate.

I think Philly could and will likely get another back, but not in the first round. Think about Dillon in Philly to compliment Westbrook (if he leaves NE). Or think about a middle round pick like Darius Walker.

I think Baltimore gets a new back. I think that back is Marshawn Lynch. Lynch is perhaps the most well-rounded back in the draft, and Baltimore will be picking in the middle-to-late portion, which is exactly where Lynch's value lies. It's time for BAL to part ways with Jamal Lewis. Their offense has some weapons, but Jamal just isn't the same. Lynch reminds me of Maroney last year - went late(r), but has so much promise to be a solid pro.

Deuce and Bush will remain in NO, and head an amazing duo. I think NO is going to (if it hasn't already) surprise a lot of people in the future, and these two guys are incredible compliments to one another. It is unfortnate for FFers, but great for NO fans (of which I am not one).

I also wouldn't be surprised to see ATL take another back, probably not early, but on the first day. In the end, though, I see Norwood (aka the Portis-clone) taking over as the featured back. His big-play ability is unavoidable.

Benson in Chi-town is a foregone conclusion IMO.

Addai full-blown starter in Indy.

Lastly, I think 2 very key places to watch if you are in a keeper/dynasty league are Arizona and Seattle. In both cases you have aging backs who, while they have been amazing, are showing signs of wear. Both of these backs have very high salaries and cap figures, so any addition of youth a RB must be done via the draft. If (and this is a big "if") an RB like Kenny Irons falls to the second round (which will probably happen IMO), then watch out for Arizona to snatch him up for the future. A second round pick will cost the team squat. I could also see Seattle (who is without a first rounder), picking up a Mike Hart-type in the second round. Again, these are places where future backs could thrive given the potent offenses they have.

[Deathwarmedover]

I don't see anyone mentioning Denver. Shanny has shown little confidence in Mike Bell so he won't be starting full time next year. Tatum, I think, proved this year he can't handle 250+ carries in a season, just like they have been saying for a long time about him. I have heard rumors of Duece and TJ heading to the Mile High city. Anyone else heard anything like this?


Steve