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Fantasy running back stat projections...

Postby elltrain22 » Wed Jun 13, 2007 5:09 pm

Here are my rb stat projections. Hope you enjoy.

Name Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec’s/Rec Yds Rec TDs
1. L. Tomlinson 1700 23 55/480 3
2. Steven Jackson 1575 14 70/700 2
3. Larry Johnson 1750 18 40/400 2
4. Shaun Alexander 1650 22 20/120 1
5. Frank Gore 1600 12 53/420 2
6. Reggie Bush 850 10 85/680 2
7. Joseph Addai 1320 10 45/350 1
8. Willie Parker 1300 12 29/203 1
9. Brian Westbrook 900 8 65/585 4
10. L. Maroney 1235 11 25/220 1
11. Rudi Johnson 1400 13 20/110 0
12. Maurice Drew 1040 10 45/460 2
13. Clinton Portis 1340 11 31/205 0
14. Edgerin James 1280 9 42/310 1
15. Travis Henry 1250 11 19/80 0
16. Ronnie Brown 1200 7 38/300 1
17. Willis McGahee 1300 11 20/160 0
18. Marion Barber 875 12 25/250 1
19. Brandon Jacobs 1100 10 12/120 0
20. Cadillac Williams 1150 6 33/200 0
21. Marshawn Lynch 1150 8 38/304 1
22. Deuce McAllister 1050 8 27/180 0
23. Cedric Benson 1175 8 12/78 0
24. Jamal Lewis 1090 8 20/120 0
25. Kevin Jones 1100 7 55/510 1
26. D. Williams 810 6 43/380 2
27. Thomas Jones 1130 8 35/205 0
28. Warrick Dunn 1050 5 24/175 0
29. Fred Taylor 1005 4 20/215 1
30. Adrian Peterson 920 6 30/205 0
31. Jerious Norwood 710 4 20/170 1
32. Julius Jones 820 3 14/110 0
33. Ahman Green 975 6 33/280 0
34. LaMont Jordan 735 4 30/240 0
35. DeShaun Foster 680 3 30/165 0
36. Brandon Jackson 710 5 28/115 0
37. Chris Henry 650 4 25/160 0
38. LenDale White 780 6 15/80 0
39. Ladell Betts 550 4 22/170 0
40. Leon Washington 485 3 20/215 0
41. Tatum Bell 520 4 21/170 0
42. Vernand Morency 625 3 22/235 0
43. Michael Turner 510 4 5/45 0
44. Corey Dillon 530 4 15/130 0
45. Reuben Droughns 480 2 19/140 0
46. Ron Dayne 510 3 12/72 0
47. Brian Leonard 170 3 28/250 1
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Re: Fantasy running back stat projections...

Postby LoveBoatCaptain » Wed Jun 13, 2007 5:32 pm

TOO HIGH: MJD

TOO LOW: MCGAHEE
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Re: Fantasy running back stat projections...

Postby WickedSmaat » Wed Jun 13, 2007 6:34 pm

So where's Chester Taylor? :-?
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Re: Fantasy running back stat projections...

Postby mrblitz » Wed Jun 13, 2007 6:42 pm

I REALLY DON'T LIKE THIS. 27. Thomas Jones 1130 8 35/205 0. Personally, I think he will be a steal as a
RB2, I know I've been targeting him.
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Re: Fantasy running back stat projections...

Postby Dawinner127 » Wed Jun 13, 2007 7:48 pm

mrblitz wrote:I REALLY DON'T LIKE THIS. 27. Thomas Jones 1130 8 35/205 0. Personally, I think he will be a steal as a
RB2, I know I've been targeting him.

That makes two of us. I really am trying to target T.Jones, Ronnie Brown and McGahee. I would be very happy with 2 of the 3.
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Re: Fantasy running back stat projections...

Postby elltrain22 » Wed Jun 13, 2007 8:13 pm

Dawinner127 wrote:
mrblitz wrote:I REALLY DON'T LIKE THIS. 27. Thomas Jones 1130 8 35/205 0. Personally, I think he will be a steal as a
RB2, I know I've been targeting him.

That makes two of us. I really am trying to target T.Jones, Ronnie Brown and McGahee. I would be very happy with 2 of the 3.


I can see where you guys are coming from here, b/c Thomas Jones has the potential to be 19 or 20, and 27 may be a bit too low, but I don't think my projected stats are too far off. The reason some guys are high (for instance--Maurice Drew) is b/c I play in a PPR (pts per reception) league. So guys like Drew, Bush, Jackson, & Cadillac are premium guys in my league. If this were not a PPR league, I might have Jones a bit higher.
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Re: Fantasy running back stat projections...

Postby Azrael » Wed Jun 13, 2007 8:48 pm

I don't see Larry Johnson or Shaun Alexander touching 20TDs this year. They're offenses got no better in the off season. KC lost Shields and Black. Weigmann and Waters are the only credible pieces of that O-line left. They are putting their faith in Damon Huard at QB and he still only has Tony Gonzalez to throw to. Alexander's offense is no better than it was either. They lose Jackson and Stevens. Will Tobeck be healthy? I'm not touching either one of these guys for where they are getting drafted. I dread getting the 3 or 4 spot in a redraft because I don't want to feel compelled to take them. I'd rather trade down.
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Re: Fantasy running back stat projections...

Postby mattb47 » Wed Jun 13, 2007 10:01 pm

elltrain22 wrote:
Dawinner127 wrote:
mrblitz wrote:I REALLY DON'T LIKE THIS. 27. Thomas Jones 1130 8 35/205 0. Personally, I think he will be a steal as a
RB2, I know I've been targeting him.

That makes two of us. I really am trying to target T.Jones, Ronnie Brown and McGahee. I would be very happy with 2 of the 3.


I can see where you guys are coming from here, b/c Thomas Jones has the potential to be 19 or 20, and 27 may be a bit too low, but I don't think my projected stats are too far off. The reason some guys are high (for instance--Maurice Drew) is b/c I play in a PPR (pts per reception) league. So guys like Drew, Bush, Jackson, & Cadillac are premium guys in my league. If this were not a PPR league, I might have Jones a bit higher.


First of all, Caddy is a terrible receiving back so I have no idea why you would target Caddy more in a PPR league....he's got Pittman taking all his receptions being by far the superior receiving back. Thomas Jones has the potential to be top 15 to top 10 this year I think, not just 19-20....the Jets have a pretty good and improving offensive line along with a solid passing game that was their strength last year. The only reason they split carries last year was because they didn't have a RB talented enough to deserve all of them....now they do. The Jets were 7th in the NFL in rushing attempts last year averaging 30.7 attempts per game, I would expect Jones to receive no less than 20 of those and at just 4 ypc (which I think he'll have a higher ypc than that), he would end up with 1280 yds rushing. I think you're sorely underestimating his numbers for next year.
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Re: Fantasy running back stat projections...

Postby ivesaidway2much » Thu Jun 14, 2007 2:34 pm

I think your reception numbers for Brandon Jacobs are too low. Last year in part time duty he had 11 receptions for 149 yards. Barring injury, I don't see how he gets any less than 25-30 receptions. I mean, there's no way the Giants are only going to have 30 receptions by their RB's over the course of an entire season.
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Re: Fantasy running back stat projections...

Postby ROYALWITCHEESE » Thu Jun 14, 2007 4:45 pm

SJack outgains LT and LJ???? No way. He will get less touches this year, not more...
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