eaglesrule wrote:I am factoring in the fluke effect. But the reality is, it seems more likely that these guys aren't likely to score without Kitna delivering the ball. Like I said earlier, I haven't looked at this type of situation in a while, because if your opponent has your QB1's main receiver, there is too much variarion. But this guy has Kitna's three main weapons, so unless they rush for one, Kitna gets those TDs too. In addition, Kitna could get TDs they can't.
I'm not factoring fluke stuff like fumble returns or something, because really, how could you?
Didn't Calvin Johnson have a rushing TD and Kitna got 0 passing TD's? You always have to consider these options. This is why you can't think too much into it and just start the best player. I know Kitna was your best option, but you should have just played him without thinking too much about who your opponent was playing. I for one never ever think about who my opponent has in his lineup. I just play the best players to give my team chance to win.