My league voted to have an NBA-style draft lottery for teams not in the playoffs and I am putting together some guidelines for how it works. The NBA uses 1000 chances and divides them up on a weighted basis between the 14 non-playoff teams using their W-L. I have four non-playoff teams and I am trying to find a fair way to divide their chances for the top pick and here is what I came up with:
20 total chances
Worst - 9
2nd worst record - 6
3rd worst - 3
4th worst - 2
Does this seem fair?

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