Dr. Duran Duran wrote:. A healthy Marvin Harrison would likely catch 70-75 passes and 8-10 touchdowns at best. So, gamble on him if you like, but I think anyone looking to take Marvin should do so with far more realistic expectations given his situation.
He would be a great value for where he is getting picked if he could put up those numbers. I don't think he can. He didn't recover last season like they hoped he would and I can swear I remember reading of him still having issues with the knees. I would have to see him drop past the 5th round before I would roll the dice on Marvin.
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moochman
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Dr. Duran Duran wrote:Fact is, even if Marvin Harrison comes back healthy, there's almost no chance he'll put up top ten numbers. Reason being, the emergence of other weapons in Indianapolis. Dallas Clark is a far more reliable target, especially in the red zone. Those ten touchdowns he scored last season are a sign that he's not just a better player, but a more trusted player in the Colts offense. Anthony Gonzalez, who had a very strong second half in 2007, should continue to get playing time in the slot. Gonzo had two 50+ yard TD's last season, both coming in the second half of the season. That's talent you can't keep on the bench for too long. Jacob Tamme, the Colts top skill position prospect, was one of the top pass-catching TE's in the draft. He'll get his share of touches in that offense. All-in-all, there are only so many passes to go around and Marvin's days as a 90+ catch player are all but gone. A healthy Marvin Harrison would likely catch 70-75 passes and 8-10 touchdowns at best. So, gamble on him if you like, but I think anyone looking to take Marvin should do so with far more realistic expectations given his situation.
I know you are a big colts fan, so I do respect your opinion on the matter. Yes, he might have a decrease from his regular productivity, but there is always that Manning Harrison connection. A player who catches 70-75 passes is almost always a valuable no. 2 fantasy wideout but I disagree that is his ceiling. If the colts defense takes a hit, which I think it might this year since people are picking up more and more how to beat the cover 2, manning is gonna be slinging the ball around a lot more than he has had to. It's obviously a situation to watch going into camp, and I think marvin has a shot at 10-12 TDs with 1200 yards if he comes back strong. Jimmy smith and Rod Smith could do it, and look at joey galloway who is having a quiet renaissance, there's no meat behind the age theory.
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Dr. Duran Duran wrote:Fact is, even if Marvin Harrison comes back healthy, there's almost no chance he'll put up top ten numbers. Reason being, the emergence of other weapons in Indianapolis. Dallas Clark is a far more reliable target, especially in the red zone. Those ten touchdowns he scored last season are a sign that he's not just a better player, but a more trusted player in the Colts offense. Anthony Gonzalez, who had a very strong second half in 2007, should continue to get playing time in the slot. Gonzo had two 50+ yard TD's last season, both coming in the second half of the season. That's talent you can't keep on the bench for too long. Jacob Tamme, the Colts top skill position prospect, was one of the top pass-catching TE's in the draft. He'll get his share of touches in that offense. All-in-all, there are only so many passes to go around and Marvin's days as a 90+ catch player are all but gone. A healthy Marvin Harrison would likely catch 70-75 passes and 8-10 touchdowns at best. So, gamble on him if you like, but I think anyone looking to take Marvin should do so with far more realistic expectations given his situation.
I know you are a big colts fan, so I do respect your opinion on the matter. Yes, he might have a decrease from his regular productivity, but there is always that Manning Harrison connection. A player who catches 70-75 passes is almost always a valuable no. 2 fantasy wideout but I disagree that is his ceiling. If the colts defense takes a hit, which I think it might this year since people are picking up more and more how to beat the cover 2, manning is gonna be slinging the ball around a lot more than he has had to. It's obviously a situation to watch going into camp, and I think marvin has a shot at 10-12 TDs with 1200 yards if he comes back strong. Jimmy smith and Rod Smith could do it, and look at joey galloway who is having a quiet renaissance, there's no meat behind the age theory.
For every Joey Galloway there's a Joe Horn. Marvin gets anywhere near 1200-10 he could win leagues for folks given his ADP, but I can't say I see that happening.
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On NFL live yesterday they were talking with Tony Dungy and he said they planned on bringing Harrison and Freeney back slowly and working them back into their old roles. Sounds like they don't expect Marvin to be ready to go full bore right away.
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moochman
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rotoword wrote:Colts coach Tony Dungy expects both WR Marvin Harrison (knee surgery) and DE Dwight Freeney (foot surgery) to be ready for the season opener. The pair may not be ready for the start of training camp, but both should be eased in later in the summer. Dungy noted that Harrison was running with a smile because he was pain free. He also reiterated that Harrison is not a suspect in the April 29 Philadelphia shooting and that the team feels good about his status. Harrison is still a draft-day risk, but running without pain is one of the first concrete positives we've seen in his progress.
Not that I in any way want to see Marvin Harrison sitting on the bench, but I'd really love to see what 2008 draft choice Pierre Garcon can do. He played for division III Mount Union, but the kid ruled that division and made a big splash when he played against better competition in the Texas v. Nation game. Guy just seems like a major playmaker, but he's going to have to work his way up through the ranks. Can the preseason come any quicker, please!!!