Given the sentiment here on Denver RBs, I'm now curious what the depth chart has looked like each year and what the final stats looked like. I think this is the last few after Portis left*:2004:
Quentin Griffin, Tatum Bell (Reuben Droughns: 1240 yds, 6 TDs)2005:
Mike Anderson, Tatum Bell (Mike Anderson: 1024 yds, 12 TDs; Tatum Bell: 921 yds, 8 TDs)2006:
Tatum Bell, Mike Bell (Tatum Bell: 1025, 2 TDs; Mike Bell: 677 yds, 8 TDs)2007:
Travis Henry, Selvin Young (Selvin Young: 729, 1 TD; Travis Henry: 691 yds, 4 TDs)* - note: this is only rushing yards. I'm a little drunk and too lazy to add up the receiving yardage.
Does this look right (from a depth chart perspective)?
It's a small sample size, but the top pick from Denver's RBs has only finished the top RB on the team half the time, and only once been "the guy" from a fantasy points perspective (Anderson, 2005). Even then Tatum Bell nearly put up the same numbers. Once the favored RB wasn't even one of the top 2 coming out of preseason (Droughns, 2004).
The point is, maybe the better play is to sit on the Denver RBs and take the #2 or #3 guy with a low investment pick. Torain seems to fit the bill here. I wish we had ADPs from these drafts, but I suspect the #2 from Denver has been clearly the winner if you were to map ADP to production.
I actually have some snapshots of ADP from Antsports for the last two years:August 19, 2006:
- Tatum Bell: 26th RB taken (high: 4.11; low: 6.05)
- Mike Bell: 37th RB taken (high: 5.05(!); low: 9.03)
- Ron Dayne: 40th RB taken (high: 8.05; low: 9.10)August 22, 2007:
- Travis Henry: 11th RB taken (high: 1.06; low: 2.04)
- Selvin Young: Didn't register on the top 60 RBs according to this
Add to this that Reuben Droughns wasn't drafted in 2004 except in the deepest of leagues. The only data I have on 2005 drafting was from a league I was in that was 14 teams with 2 flex spots and 2 keepers where Mike Anderson was kept and Tatum Bell was drafted with the 60th overall pick (so roughly the 88th pick of that draft).
Interesting, or useless?