Kensat30 wrote:He was overrated WITH Tom Brady.
Without Tom Brady, I think this guy could end up barely rosterable except in PPR leagues.
I'm thinking a close comparison to Welker could be Mushin Muhammad.
PS- Anyone who thinks Welker's value goes up with Brady out is a moron IMO. Target that guy in your league in a trade and get what you can while you still can. Brady is/was a master of buying time in the pocket and allowing Wes Welker to run past his guy and get open. Cassel is much more likely to forcefeed Randy Moss than he is to wait for Welker to run past his guy or check down to his 2nd or 3rd read. Chances are Welker averages like 5/50 from here on out.
70/900/5 is a fair bit better than "barely rosterable". It's more or less what he put up in Miami, and more or less what I'd expect, but that's still WR4 numbers if you're deep and WR3 if you're not.
FWIW, your assertion that Welker needs more "time" to get open than Moss is just bunk. Welker's value lies in his route-running, his ability to be where he's supposed to be when he's supposed to be there. If Cassel's smart he'll use that instead of trying to force it downfield, but given his lack of experience I have my doubts as to whether he can.