Dream - I understand the points re: the laying of odds you make in your last message, and agree with them. I only think its a touch different in Dallas case simply cos Im suprised the bookmakers are looking to atract money for Dallas quite as much as in general examples. This is because Dallas drew plenty of pre season and early season bet action by
a) Being one of the top 5 teams; generally accepted by all
b) Being the most well known & popular team (weird, but true, folks bet on their favorites. heart over head)
Its the same thing when the English football team qualify for the World Cup; they are always quoted at too low a price, ridiculously so. this is because
a) the good point you made earlier about Bookies balancing their risk/reward by laying odds acordingly.
b) English fans will bet with their hearts and take 8-1, when an objective outlook should have them at maybes 15-1. Why offer the bettor a higher price than you need to.
If one can step back and bet logically, disassociating head and heart , as well as weighing liklihood vs value it makes things a lot eaiser.