by steelerfan513 » Thu Apr 16, 2009 3:20 pm
We'll see. I think even 14-2 is pushing it because we can't assume the Steelers will hold all but one opponent under 300 yards again next year. Last year's defense put up one of the better single-season performances in NFL history, but in the NFL such a dominant performance is rarely repeated. Obviously they'll still be in the top five, but last year the Steelers counted on their defense to win almost every game for them. The offense needs to step it up for the Steelers to reach a 13-3 or 14-2 mark.
Also keep in mind that while a win may be the most likely scenario most weeks, it won't be the one that ultimately plays out every time. The loss to Oakland a couple years ago certainly proves that. It might be better to evaluate games in terms of percentages rather than absolute W/L to account for this. I tried this, but I think I underestimated their chances because I got 11 wins flat.


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