How'd I do on this dynasty deal? (#1 rookie pick)

[matttyl315]

10 team dynasty league with IDP. Each team keeps 31 players from year to year.

So, I traded away Willie Parker, the #23 rookie/free agent pick in this '09 draft, and my 1st and 2nd round picks in the 2010 draft (most likely somewhere between #4-8 and #14-18) for the #1 overall pick this year.

Obviously I won't miss next year's picks till next year, and the #23 pick this year really isn't worth much. The #23 pick this past year was Joe Flacco. I still think Parker could be a good RB, though, but he's not what he once was.

Current roster -
A Rodgers, Hass, Bulger, Russell, Jackson
Westy, Grant, McGahee, Parker, Sproles, Torain
B Marshall, Evans, Bryant, J Cotch, Chambers
Keller, Z Miller
some very good IDP

Note - I've already traded away my 1st round pick this year (helped me get Westy), and my 2nd round pick this year (got me Evans). After this, my first pick will be #33.

[Dewarewolf]

Not really thrilled about the deal on your end. I would probably be willing to do the #23 and parker, but a #1 and #2 next season is too much in my opinion. I am still a believer in Parker, and while the #1 pick is great, its still a gamble, and its most likely going to be used to replace Parker so I look at as you gave up the #23, 2010 #1, and 2010 #2 to fill a hole that was created by this trade with Parker. If you bust on your #1 pick which I assume will be Moreno or Wells depending on draft status, then you have a HB that may not upgrade from Parker in the first place, AND your out a #1, #2, and early #3.

[matttyl315]

I know what you're saying, but here was my thought....

The rookie I end up drafting (one of the two you mentioned) should end up getting me about what Parker will this year. Maybe less yards and more TDs, but around the same number of points. Parker still has Mendenhall behind him who may steal carries this year. Parker also has been getting a bit banged up lately.

Going into next year, I feel that whatever rookie I got from this deal will only do better, while Parker will only do worse possibly in a RBBC situation. That difference, I feel, is worth an unknown future first and second, which if things go well could be the #8 and #18, or even #10 and #20 should my team really turn it around. Both of which are far cries from the #1 this year. Should that second year guy now be getting me 1,400 total yards with 10+ TDs, and Parker now at 900 yards with 3-4 TDs, I'd say that trade was very much worth it, not to mention the second year guy would have a entire career ahead of him while Parker would be at the end of his. Youth is gold in dynasty!!

If I bust with the pick, though, it will be a "double whammy" as it will only make the first and second round picks that I gave up that much better.

[Dewarewolf]

I can understand your thought process there, I just think from looking at a majority of mock drafts and looking through the Draft needs on the upcoming draft there is a good chance that Moreno and Wells end up in Phi, NYG, or NO all of which would put them in a heavy rotation behind the likes of Brian Westbrook, Jacobs and Bradshaw, and Bush and Thomas. To top that off, Philly rarely runs the ball as it is let alone enough for a #2 to be effective. I think if you were in a position to not need this HB for another 2-3 years it could be a deal worth making, but by trading Parker you will need the HB to contribute immediately and I dont see either HB getting enough PT to help you out immediately this season. Now if an injury happens its a different story, but thats alot to give up for longterm help at the expense of the short term future. Another team in the mix is Houston, but even there Slaton is the starter and is young as well so at best they are looking at a split time position while I still think Parker has the ability and the skills to play for 5-6 more productive seasons. Not playing in college or in his early years in Pitt will extend his career, and His two injuries the last two seasons were not the type that linger or cause more injuries down the road. Before he broke his leg in 07 he was leading the league in rushing.

[z raptor]

Though I can agree with both thought processes mentioned, I'm leaning on liking the deal ONLY IF you draft the rb Philly 'should be drafting' (whoever that will be). Then you'll have Westy's 'would be' successor. Since this is a dynasty league, this will set you up for the future.

BTW, I'd drop T.Jackson as Sage will be the qb in Minnesota and maybe see about trading Torrain for a draft pick.......personally just can't stand any Denver rb because of the situation, which shouldn't be any better given New England does a rbbc and McDaniels will be instituting something similar.......

jmho......hope they help!!!