kingmike74 wrote:I used to think the same way and it never worked out.
I have done some studying and teams that win 10+ have kickers that score 105+, teams that lose 10, have kickers around the 85 range.
So I should pose a new question, does anyone have any sleeper "teams" that might suprise and win 10 games?
Well, yea, it's not that a good team doesn't need a good kicker. But to put it into the big picture the most a K averages is at most going to average 6-7 points per game. MAYBE. So, don't waste good picks on them, even WR4 and RB4 score more than that. But if it's the last pick I fear picking kickers can be researched as much as you want but it's just as much random as anything.
It's just that a kicker's season is soo relative to the team they play on. Just because it's a good kicker doesn't mean they always score well. It's a lot of luck and being in the right place at the right time. So while the research does show that a team needs a good kicker to win, it'll also show that the adp of those kickers vary from season to season. Rarely do top kickers from one year repeat from year to year. Take a look... the top ten from the last 5 years:
2008 - Gostkowski, Carney, Bryant, Dawson, Akers, Bironas, K. Brown, Nedney, J.Brown, Elam
2007 - Bironas, Graham, Gould, Crosby, Hanson, Suisham, Nugent, Bryant, J. Brown, Elam
2006 - Gould, Wilkins, Hanson, Stover, Nedney, Elam, Kaeding, Rackers, Scobee, Vinatieri
2005 - Rackers, Feely, Stover, Lindell, Graham, Dawson, Wilkins, Nedney, Tynes, K. Brown
2004 - Vinatieri, Stover, Elam, Reed, Graham, Akers, Janikowski, Hanson, Lindwell, Longwell
So, hardly any semblance of consistency. It's just that with the relatively low point totals, it's really efficient to spend a ton of time researching or picking guys that can/can't effect your team at any time. So good luck, hope you get a good guy!! Just don't fret too much. One point a game isn't gonna kill ya in the long run