Azrael wrote:Kensat30 wrote: I think you're almost better off taking a Drew Brees despite the monumental gap between productive WRs and QBs available later in drafts..
I'm very nearly in agreement with this statement. I am typically a guy who advocates waiting on QBs but with the number of contributing RBs and sometimes feature backs that are falling into the 5th and 6th rounds, I'm not sure it's such a bad idea to spend a 2nd rounder on Brees or Brady, especially in 6pt TD leagues. The opportunities for finding players with potential at other positions later in the draft almost warrants selecting a surefire stud QB early.
It's hard to disagree with this statement. I was recently able to draft Willis Mcgahee in the 11th round(equivalent due to keepers) of a 12 team 100% cafe draft. Guys like Larry Johnson and Willie Parker slid to the 6th. Cedric Benson was available in the 8th. Every year some players fall a lot farther than they should.. but I just don't see a big difference between RBs available in round 3 and RBs available in round 6+. It's ridiculous this year. I think the WR value dries up sometime in the early middle rounds, but also that the WR talent from early round 2 is comparable to WR talent available all the way into round 4+. Early RBs and early QBs seem the best bet to gain an appreciable advantage over the competition this year. Guys like Drew Brees are clearly better than the Donovan McNabbs of the world. And guys like Brian Westbrook should be considered well ahead of players like Ryan Grant.
The same cannot be said for a guy like Andre Johnson going 3 rounds ahead of Chad Johnson.
Value pockets to me this year look like:
WR rounds 3-4
RB rounds 5-6+
QB in the 2nd round can definitely make sense. Drew Brees is better than the historical Peyton Manning #1 QB and Brady has insane upside right alongside Randy Moss. I think those three players are the guys to target in the 2nd round if a potential RB#1 like Tomlinson or Westbrook doesn't fall into your lap.
I can see a solid draft going like this: