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My top five 09-10 RB picks, plus two busts.

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Re: My top five 09-10 RB picks, plus two busts.

Postby Kensat30 » Thu Jul 02, 2009 1:32 pm

Azrael wrote:
Kensat30 wrote: I think you're almost better off taking a Drew Brees despite the monumental gap between productive WRs and QBs available later in drafts..


I'm very nearly in agreement with this statement. I am typically a guy who advocates waiting on QBs but with the number of contributing RBs and sometimes feature backs that are falling into the 5th and 6th rounds, I'm not sure it's such a bad idea to spend a 2nd rounder on Brees or Brady, especially in 6pt TD leagues. The opportunities for finding players with potential at other positions later in the draft almost warrants selecting a surefire stud QB early.


It's hard to disagree with this statement. I was recently able to draft Willis Mcgahee in the 11th round(equivalent due to keepers) of a 12 team 100% cafe draft. Guys like Larry Johnson and Willie Parker slid to the 6th. Cedric Benson was available in the 8th. Every year some players fall a lot farther than they should.. but I just don't see a big difference between RBs available in round 3 and RBs available in round 6+. It's ridiculous this year. I think the WR value dries up sometime in the early middle rounds, but also that the WR talent from early round 2 is comparable to WR talent available all the way into round 4+. Early RBs and early QBs seem the best bet to gain an appreciable advantage over the competition this year. Guys like Drew Brees are clearly better than the Donovan McNabbs of the world. And guys like Brian Westbrook should be considered well ahead of players like Ryan Grant.

The same cannot be said for a guy like Andre Johnson going 3 rounds ahead of Chad Johnson.


Value pockets to me this year look like:
WR rounds 3-4
RB rounds 5-6+

QB in the 2nd round can definitely make sense. Drew Brees is better than the historical Peyton Manning #1 QB and Brady has insane upside right alongside Randy Moss. I think those three players are the guys to target in the 2nd round if a potential RB#1 like Tomlinson or Westbrook doesn't fall into your lap.

I can see a solid draft going like this:
RB-QB-WR-WR-RB-RB-WR-RB-RB
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Re: My top five 09-10 RB picks, plus two busts.

Postby Instinctive » Thu Jul 02, 2009 2:41 pm

I totally agree. It seems as though the 12 team sweetspot this year would be pick 6-8, as you can get a stud RB that has less question marks, and then in the 2nd nab Brees. If Brees doesn't fall there, you can take 3 WR, then grab Schaub, and go really RB heavy the rest of the way. I am really excited in my money league, where we draw and you can choose your spot based on gettin drawn, because the top 4, then the lats 2 spots go right away every year.

You could be left with a whole lot of value from the 7 slot this season.
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Re: My top five 09-10 RB picks, plus two busts.

Postby biju » Thu Jul 02, 2009 4:38 pm

Kensat30 wrote:PS - How can you consider a madden cursed player safe? I would think that any fantasy football player has some inclination towards supersition.


:-D

I'm extremely anti-superstition.

I wrote up about 5 paragraphs of why the curse doesn't exist and just now decided to delete it. This argument has been played out 100% and there isn't anything I can say that will make someone change their mind. It's like telling people there aren't really green little men running around turning cows inside out and sticking things up people's bums. Some people just want to believe.
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Re: My top five 09-10 RB picks, plus two busts.

Postby Kareighuis » Thu Jul 02, 2009 5:16 pm

biju wrote:It's like telling people there aren't really green little men running around turning cows inside out and sticking things up people's bums. Some people just want to believe.


What?!?! :-o I've never heard this. It explains everything!
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Re: My top five 09-10 RB picks, plus two busts.

Postby Azrael » Thu Jul 02, 2009 9:43 pm

I recently went WR/WR at 10 and actually didn't mind the team I ended up with Calvin, Randy, Pierre, Grant, Knowshon, Romo, Hester, Cooley, Hines, Willis, Carlson
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