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Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

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Re: Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

Postby hammertoes » Wed Jul 29, 2009 11:57 am

I'm in a 10 team league, standard scoring, NO PPR, 6pts for all TD's.
5pt bonus for 350+ passing, 3pt bonus for 150+ rushing or recieving

We can all keep up to 4 players in the rounds they were drafted.

My current keepers:
Andre Johnson (2)
Clinton Portis (4)
Marion Barber (8)
Larry Johnson(15)

Another owner offered me Peyton Manning (1), Deangelo Williams (16), and 6.06 for AJ, Barber, and Jason Witten (13) who I was going to drop anyway.

Would you make this trade?

My new keepers would probably be:
Manning (1)
Portis (4)
DWill (16)
Larry Johnson (15)

I'd probably go WR with my first 3 picks in rounds 2, 3, & 5.

What do yo u think? Thanks in advance Matt!
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Re: Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

Postby mattb47 » Thu Jul 30, 2009 7:07 pm

Indibuck wrote:OK Matt -- I respect your opinion... thanks for taking a look....


We keep 6. My first 5 are baked, keeping 3 RBs (AP, Brown, Grant) and 2 WRs (Colston and Edwards).
Start 1/2/3/1/1/1. No PPR, no flex.

Standard scoring but long TDs and 100 yards rush/receive earn big bonuses... so it pays to gamble on the big play guy in this league.

Need help on my last keeper. Eligible candidates include:
QB Palmer
WR Royal
WR Holmes
WR Avery
TE Gonzo

Of ten teams, 8 are keeping QBs, and I should have at least one of McNabb or Ryan available at my draft spot (1.10 + 2.1). So I am ruling out Palmer. FWIW I can't keep more than 3 RBs, so that's why there are no more eligible candidates there.

So it comes down to Gonzo or a WR, probably Holmes... although an argument could be made for Royal (but remember no PPR).

Feedback? Thanks...


I think your best bet here is probably going to be Holmes. I don't think Gonzo is going to be worth using a keeper spot on, not with the depth of TEs this season, and Holmes is the kind of guy that fits your league settings well...he is an improving receiver who finally may have broken out a bit in the playoffs, and he's a speedy big play threat. Royal is tempting and would be an easy choice if this were PPR but he had a very low yards per reception average and he's really a pure possession WR which doesn't help you a ton.
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Re: Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

Postby mattb47 » Thu Jul 30, 2009 7:17 pm

Mr.Joshua wrote:Hey Matt, thanks for this thread.
Its a 12 team, redraft with 1 ppr and I have the 12th pick. Start 2 rb, 2 wr, 1 rb/wr. I would definitely grab 2 of the rb's below if they are there, but guys like Barber, Jacobs, Portis and even Westy's injury make me unsure if I would be better off with a top wr. I feel drafting @ 12/13 I really need to maximize the picks. So do you think I am doing that if I take 2 of these rb's, If only 1 of these rb's are left, pair him up with a top wr, or if none of those backs are left go wr/wr? Thanks in advance for the help.

DeAngelo Williams
Frank Gore
Steve Slaton


Drafting at the turn is always going to be a tough spot to be in. My first advice is to simply draft guys you like and feel comfortable with. Drafting at this spot means that you basically will have to reach for guys you want...it's not ideal but it's how it is. If there are 2 quality RBs there I would take them without question...since that doesn't usually happen, RB/WR seems like a solid place to turn to.

I would rank those 3 RBs in this order:

Frank Gore - Good receiving back and will be featured plenty this season in San Francisco's new run focused approach after their Mike Martz experiment. He has proven he can handle this kind of load before as well so expect him to see the ball plenty week in and week out...also plays in a very weak division defensively.

DeAngelo Williams - One of my prime candidates this year to be a bust simply because of the situation he's in with a very talented (in my opinion more talented) RB right behind him ready to even just cut into his workload even further this season. Williams scored a lot of TDs last season...really out of nowhere considering that he had just 5 TDs in 2 seasons previously and that is a little concerning. The chances of him duplicating that are slim and so a drop is only natural for the upcoming season.

Steve Slaton - I think many are overrating him...it happens a lot with RBs that take over during a season and end up with big numbers. What also happens alot in these situations is that there is a 2nd year starter let down that occurs as defenses start to figure out how to slow them down and they begin to struggle a bit. It's difficult for a RB of his size to carry a huge load on a consistent basis and I don't believe we'll see them overwork him this year. I also don't expect his TDs to be as high.

If you're looking at WRs for the 2nd pick...I like Randy Moss, Andre Johnson, and then Larry Fitzgerald and in that order.
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Re: Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

Postby mattb47 » Thu Jul 30, 2009 7:20 pm

hammertoes wrote:I'm in a 10 team league, standard scoring, NO PPR, 6pts for all TD's.
5pt bonus for 350+ passing, 3pt bonus for 150+ rushing or recieving

We can all keep up to 4 players in the rounds they were drafted.

My current keepers:
Andre Johnson (2)
Clinton Portis (4)
Marion Barber (8)
Larry Johnson(15)

Another owner offered me Peyton Manning (1), Deangelo Williams (16), and 6.06 for AJ, Barber, and Jason Witten (13) who I was going to drop anyway.

Would you make this trade?

My new keepers would probably be:
Manning (1)
Portis (4)
DWill (16)
Larry Johnson (15)

I'd probably go WR with my first 3 picks in rounds 2, 3, & 5.

What do yo u think? Thanks in advance Matt!


I think I would keep what you have. Manning is nowhere near worth a 1st round pick and while DWill is nice value in the 16th, I think he has potential to be a bust this year after his huge breakout season that dwarfed anything else he's ever done as a RB in this league. I liked the values you have pre-trade with AJ in the 2nd (solid value), Portis in the 4th (great value), Barber in the 8th (ridiculous value), and Johnson in the 15th (huge upside for a guy that late). Unless you're going to be getting a top tier RB, I think you have to stand pat with what you have.
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Re: Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

Postby Egg2828 » Thu Jul 30, 2009 8:47 pm

Yo Matt what do you thing about this.
12 team league snake, money! Yahoo standard. 2RB 1Flex 2WR 1QB 1TE: 1 Keeper per team 6th round or later. I plan on keeping A.Gonzo over Cutler.

also count C.J, D.Williams, R.White,A.Rordgers, D.Bowe,F.Jones, Slaton and maybe P.Thomas all kept + some.

I did some numbers and from 05-06 was like 20 of 24 all RB's. 07-08 draft was about half and half. RB's vs QB/WR was split. My thoughts are this. If I can land a top 6 Pick get a top RB. If I am toward the bottem lock up FItz/AJ/MOSS. If I can get two of them do it and get RB"s later. OR get guys like Jacobs,Portis,Barber,Westy, and then get S.Smith,Colston,calvin, in the 2nd round.

Thoughts?
Money $hot
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Re: Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

Postby Ek » Fri Jul 31, 2009 1:23 am

Ok, I have the first overall pick in my upcoming keeper league draft, as well as the fourth pick in the second round (16th overall). Everyone keeps three players, .4 PPR, otherwise the scoring is pretty normal. Start QB/2RB/2WR/Flex/TE/K/D. My keepers at present are Tom Brady, Chris Johnson, and Clinton Portis. I'm thinking of going with an RB for the flex and a WR with those two picks. The better guys available (after keepers):

RBs:
Pierre Thomas
Knowshon Moreno
Willie Parker
Kevin Smith
Reggie Bush
Derrick Ward
Larry Johnson
Julius Jones
Beanie Wells

WRs:
Houshmanzadeh
Welker
Dwayne Bowe
Owens
Brandon Marshall
Vincent Jackson
Braylon Edwards
Antonio Bryant
Roy Williams
Ochocinco

I am leaning towards taking a WR with the pick, which means I could get someone in the Housh/Welker/Bowe range for my WR1 but probably end up with someone in the low-end starter/high-end backup range as my RB3. Or, I could take Pierre Thomas, who I actually kind of like this year, and hope to piece together a competent WR core in the 2nd-5th (really 5th-8th due to the keepers) rounds. Thoughts?
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Re: Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

Postby jcave24 » Fri Jul 31, 2009 2:12 am

I'm in a 10 team PPR league, no special scoring other than that. Not a keeper league.
Starters

QB Peyton Manning
RB Frank Gore
RB Joseph Addai
WR Larry Fitzgerald
WR Roy Williams
TE Antonio Gates
OP Carson Palmer
D/ST Jets
K Ryan Longwell

Bench

RB Reggie Bush
RB Chris Wells
RB Ray Rice
RB Julius Jones
WR Torry Holt
WR Miles Austin
WR Chris Chambers

One of the guys in my league traded off a running back so he's down to one real starter. A really good one though (MJD). Behind him he has leon washington, felix jones and tashard choice. Do you think there's any way to go RBs for RB without trading off Gore for him? Say, if I went Addai, Jones, and Bush or Rice? Probably sounds cracked out but if it worked it would be awesome.

He's starting Brees, Rivers(as a general offensive player), Greg Jennings, Roddy White, and Chris Cooley.
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Re: Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

Postby Mr.Joshua » Fri Jul 31, 2009 3:43 am

Thanks Matt, I appreciate it ;-D
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Re: Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

Postby thebigsmooth » Fri Jul 31, 2009 6:28 am

Please take a look at mine
viewtopic.php?f=18&t=439149
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Re: Mattb47's Draft/Trade Q&A - Ask Away!

Postby MadDog36 » Fri Jul 31, 2009 7:12 am

QB
Donovan McNabb
Jason Campbell
Brady Quinn
Steve McGee
Mark Sanchez
Pat White

RB
Adrian Peterson
Michael Turner
Brandon Jacobs
Joseph Addai
Ahmad Bradshaw
Chester Taylor

WR
Steve Smith
T.J. Houshmanzadeh
Chaz Schillens
Nate Washington
Patrick Crayton
Adrian Arrington
Chris Henry (CIN)
Andre Caldwell
Jerome Simpson
Dominique Edison
Steve Johnson
Kenny McKinley
Brandon Gibson
Demetrius Byrd
Ramses Barden

TE
Dallas Clark
Dustin Keller

K
Garrett Hartley

D
Minnesota

The following are FAs:
Tampa QBs, Bronco QBs, C-Pep, Ratliff, Garcia, Brennan (always high o nhim), VY (any upside left?)
Greg Jones, Brian Leonard, Jerome Harrison, Lorenzo Booker, Sammy Morris, Caddy, Deshawn Wynn, Mike Hart, Maurice Morris, Chris Henry, Ryan Torain (any value left in him)?, Xavier Oman,
Clowney, Gaffney, Higgins, Northcutt, Bennett, Robinson, Cribbs, Curry, Smith, Walker, Stallworth, Jacob Jones, Craig Davis,
Brad Cottam, Jermichael Finley, Martin Rucker (high on him), Kevin Boss

What changes?
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