i like robiskie more than steve smith this year, but i am probably in the minority. his team will be passing more, and with winslow gone, there is really no one to throw to on the browns besides braylon. he should get a lot of looks. smith will start, but i think he'll see fewer targets than robiskie because A) boss is emerging as a short-yardage pass option and B) the giants do not get involved in shoot-outs very often.
I can feel your pain on this one... but here's my humble opinion.
Robiskie is a bigger gamble here as he's just simply unproven. However the potential in Cleveland makes him a big risk reward gamble. I don't think Robiskie will be a bust, but you do have the fact that if/when Edwards gets his shixt in gear you may see Robiski's production taper off... Another problem with Robiski is the lack of a proven QB in cleveland, but they may have that problem resolved now, only the preseason will truly tell.
Steve Smith on the other hand is in a great situation right now but you won't know how that will turn out until after the preseason. He does have experience under his belt and he does have a proven QB throwing to him. He's just going to have to step up, the starting and 2nd receiver positions I would think are wide open in NY, its just a matter of who takes them. The rumors are Nicks will be stepping up but if I'm picking now I'd go with Smith over Nicks until Nicks has proven himself.
For your decision.. if your looking for a reciver who you will need on a regular basis as a flex reciver or even a starter I'd go with Smith but if this is a back up or you've got anothr good flex option in a RB or TE depending on your league and your not scared to take the gamble i'd take Robiskie.
Lug makes a couple of good points too, it is very likely that the Browns will be on the reciving end of alot of arse woopins and thus will be going to the air alot more which means Robiskie should see alot of targets. Especially if Edwards isn't producing. I still think Robiskie is the bigger risk reward pick though. If your not scared to take the risk, if/when he pays off I think it will be alot bigger then Smith's in NY
Smith could get his chance without Plax this year. However, the Giants seem to have a plethora of capable receivers without a proven number one. They also invested a first-round pick in Hakeem Nicks so they may try to get him more looks than the others. With Hixon, Nicks, even Manningham (and don't forget Boss), Smith could get lost in the mix.
It seems a very similar situation to the Eagles receivers of a few years ago. Before Jackson, they had a ton of on-field capable receivers to make a few catches a game but never had the go-to guy. Granted, this means more touches for everyone, but as an Eagles fan, none of them were capable fantasy players. The production was just too spread out.
Robiskie has upside and being a second-round pick could possibly get him the chance at more looks. He's got the potential to do something and other than Braylon (and maybe Massaquoi), Cleveland doesn't have much after having lost Stallworth, Winslow, and Jurevicius.
In the end, I'd say that if you have depth at WR then take Robiskie and his upside. If you need help at WR, play it safe and take Smith's inevitable production (even though it won't be WR1 type stuff).
Smith is going to be the better WR to have in PPR formats. He'll get looks all day long.
I'd rather have a NYG WR than a CLE WR anyway.
2010 12-team .5PPR QB - Ryan, Vick RB - S. Greene, Forte, Stewart, F. Jones, Sproles WR - Moss, Megatron, NYG Smith, Floyd, M. Williams (TB) TE - Cooley D - CIN (week to week) K - Bironas