My league draft is this weekend, and I drew the last spot in a 10-team league. So who should I be targeting for my first two picks at #10 and #11? Here's some key info about the league:
[*]We start 2 QB's, so their value is huge. No way does Brees drop to me. [*]3 WR's, so they're a little bit scarce, too. [*]Most other roster config is standard stuff: 2 RB's, 1 WR/RB flex, 1 TE, 1 DEF, 1 K [*]Tough to project, but we have 5-point bonuses at 100/150/200 yards rushing or receiving, and 300/350/400 yards passing. These bonuses can mean a lot in weekly matchups. So a guy having numerous 100+ yard games or a QB having numerous 300+ yard games is a big deal.
Here's what I'm thinking. I have ZERO chance at the following guys: Brees, AP, MJD, Turner. Probably no chance at Forte either, and I doubt DeAngelo will drop (but if he does I'm grabbing him). So, that's six guys. I'd love Brady to fall to me; I'd take him there in this 2-QB league.
So, any thoughts? Assuming the 7 guys I named are unavailable (again: Brees, AP, MJD, Turner, Forte, DeAngelo Williams, Brady), who should I have at the top of my list for my first two picks?
I agree with the others.....I would definately grab a QB for sure (Brady/Manning/Rodgers/etc....) then I would either grab another QB since you have to start 2 anyways and they are a big part (there are a ton of RB and WR depth this year so I think a QB/QB combo would be great depending on whose there) if Manning and Brady are there or at least 2 top guys then I would go that route.....but if not or if you think there will still be any QB power left upon the return then I would go QB/WR and grab a WR who will guarantee you the bonuses per weekly (research for the yardage guys like Fitz/Moss/AJ should be locks for those)!
I would avoid a RB with the first 2 picks though because most top RB's will get you the bonuses every now and then but most RB's will get around 80-90 yards and a couple TD's which is no good for the bonus since it needs to be over 100yrds (most top WR's though will get you the 100-150 yrds.
I think your best bet though is to grab 2 top QB's (also because the lower tier QB's won't manage 300+ yards per week) or go QB/Top WR.
Standard H2H 12 Team 1 Pt PPR, Start 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1 FLEX (RB/WR/TE), 1TE, 1K, 1 DEF
Im in a league like that now, and the owner with the 1.10 and 2.1 picks drafted Brady and Manning back to back. He still was able to get decent value at his other positions. A 10-teamer gives you that luxury...12 or 14 teams and he may not have been so lucky. I would go Brady or Manning/AJ or Moss here.
I would also go with a Manning/brady combo or a Rodgers/Brady or Rivers/Brady..you have alot of opinions, but throw everyone off and get them scattering for QBS and take 2. Everyone back down the latter will be scrambling for there starting QBS and you will get some good recievers with your next pick.
Thanks for the help everyone. I will definitely take Brady is he falls to me, but I don't see that happening. Or at the very least, it's a long shot.
As for the other QB's, I see what you're saying, but I don't love the options. Peyton is the safe QB3, but his numbers the last two seasons aren't eye popping: about 250 y/g each of the last 2 years, good for 8th among QB's. He's also 33 now, which is not ancient for a QB, but I wouldn't expect big improvements at that age either. I see that he's obviously the safest pick for the third QB off the board, but taking him that early seems like a let down when more exciting players are around.
Warner was 2nd in the league in y/g last year, but he is waaay too risky that early. Cutler is next, but no longer in that crazy Denver situation. Schaub and Romo are next, and they're both verrry intriguing, but there's a slight chance I could grab them at the 3/4 swing. Ditto Rodgers and Rivers -- I like them a lot, but it seems very early for those guys, even in a 2-QB league.
As for WR vs. RB, I think the top RB's tend to have 100+ yard games more frequently than the receivers. Or at least with similar frequency. So no need to rule them out completely. Also, TD's are still big: 6 points and 4 points, as usual. The guys who win you your matchup will go 100 yards with a TD for a cool 21 points.
Related question: how do you feel about Tomlinson at the 10/11 swing in this league? He could be there.