I am going to throw out, what I believe, to be the most effective draft strategy ever. What's great about it, is that is goes against what the "experts" tell you. In fact, using this approach, you will go against the grain.
Draft the home run hitters. Period. Sounds obvious, right? Here is the logic. Sure you can grab guys that will give you an above average safe amount of stats per week. Guess what happens with these types of guys? You make the playoffs and lose.
I have been playing fantasy football since 1995. D oesn't make me an expert but I have learned one thing. The times I have one a championship in my leagues were the times I had a ridiculously kick ass team. You win championships by being dominant, not by being solid and consistent.
My theory, take it for what it is worth, is to swing for the fences with every pick. Take guys with huge upside like Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees (not unseen but huge upside), Brady (again huge upside already seen), AD, MJD, Turner, Andre Johnson, CJ, Fitz etc. Its obvious to target the top tier guys.
But how is this: avoid these top and second tier guys: TO, Manning, LT, Gore, Lynch, Ward, Bush, Parker,Jacobs, Portis, Moss, Steve Smith, Reggie Wayne to name a few. These guys are past their prime and, for the most part, will never match their previously best years. Might be flier in there to prove me wrong but the odds are against you.
Now for some midround draft killers: Edwards, Vincent Jackson, Eddie Royal, Moreno, DeShaun Jackson, Matt Ryan, Breaston, Kevin Smith, Felix Jones, Keller, Henry, Gage, Rice. Even Vick is a great late rounder that could kill other teams. I only named a few.
The idea is this. Grab anyone top 200 or 300 list and scroll down it. Highlight any player you feel has the possibility, either by talent or by the situation they are in, to kill it. If you are in a league with 16-20 rounds, this gives you plenty of ammo to swing for the fences. The first 5 rounds should yield 3 players easily within the top ten of their positions. Should be higher if you are going all out with your picks.
Then the the later rounds, you should nab a few fliers that surprise. Combine them together and you are championship bound (minus dreaded injuries).
In summary, steady Eddie approach, will only get you to the playoffs and maybe a long shot at the title. Teams with studs top to bottom is what it takes to win. The only way you get that is to swing for the fences. Stop drafting guys you think will get you 1100 yards rushing and 8 TDs, 60 catches for 700 yards and 5 tds, etc. Buck the trend and you will kill it.
The best part is you will fly under the radar. Everyone else will be grabbing the Edge, TO, Steve Smith, LT, Manning and you will be grabbing younger guys with the unseen huge upside that always happens unexpectedly in fantasy football.
I said it would be short buy I rambled. Again, guys I said have huge upside might not be yours. But the idea is the same. Swing for the fences, you've got 20 rounds to do it.