I would go with SEA, because I think they are a solid bet against DET, and I don't think they will be useable later. CJ and Smith could be slowed by injuries. GB is a decent pick, but TB playing at home, coming off a bye, and trying to get not to be an 0-16 team could be dangerous.
I'm a little worried about picking against a winless team at home (aka Tampa) but they are a mess right now. I may have to flip a coin between Atlanta (the best team of the 4 I have to choose from) and Green Bay (playing against the weakest opponent).
I wouldn't consider the SF/Ten game. I think people have provided good rationale for picking GB and Atl, but noone has said how good Seattle's matchup is. They're at home and Detroit may again be missing be missing Calvin Johnson. Worse, Kevin Smith is still injured and may not play. Even if they're both active, I'll take the Hawks' offense over that defense any day- never mind what Seattle's D will do to a rookie QB struggling to get back from injury behind a weak line.
mattb47 wrote:I wouldn't bank on the Pats this week...I'd personally go with Green Bay against Tampa Bay...Aaron Rodgers has been lights out even against good defenses this year and Tampa Bay is a walkover both offensively and defensively. I'd be surprised to see them win by less than 20 to be completely honest.
Your "lights out" Rodgers will be playing injured (if at all) and Brady is healthy. I'm sticking with my pick, though the decision is obviously up to the OP. Probably both GB and the Pats will win their games, but I'd rather go with the Pats.
mattb47 wrote:I wouldn't bank on the Pats this week...I'd personally go with Green Bay against Tampa Bay...Aaron Rodgers has been lights out even against good defenses this year and Tampa Bay is a walkover both offensively and defensively. I'd be surprised to see them win by less than 20 to be completely honest.
Your "lights out" Rodgers will be playing injured (if at all) and Brady is healthy. I'm sticking with my pick, though the decision is obviously up to the OP. Probably both GB and the Pats will win their games, but I'd rather go with the Pats.
Well...of course you would as a Pats fan...but I'm looking MUCH more at the teams they are facing than the apparent health of either QB. GB doesn't NEED Rodgers to throw it all over the field to destroy the Bucs, their team is AWFUL and they are starting a rookie QB...that will end up resulting in a very one sided game. Miami is a MUCH better team than TB and they have already showed a tendency to beat teams that they shouldn't necessarily beat because they run the ball well and play good defense...never bet against the possibility of that kind of team putting up an upset because they can potentially control the clock and limit the Patriots opportunities on offense.
I think the overall matchup is just plain better for GB this week...nothing against NE and I do think they will win...but I'm 10 times more confident in GB than NE for the teams they are facing this week.
KenDawg19 wrote:Where's the love for Atlanta this week? They are one of the better teams I have left and showed some life against the Saints on Monday.
I was looking at it and Atlanta doesn't quite match up with WAS all that well. Don't get me wrong, ATL is obviously the better team but WAS has been playing very good defense this season and it's been overshadowed by a horrible offense. ATL has potent offense but both their pass and rush defense are statistically below average, almost breaking the bottom 10 in both cases. IMO if WAS could sustain some drives (I know, big question mark here), I think they have a chance. This might be the upset game of the week.
KenDawg19 wrote:Where's the love for Atlanta this week? They are one of the better teams I have left and showed some life against the Saints on Monday.
I was looking at it and Atlanta doesn't quite match up with WAS all that well. Don't get me wrong, ATL is obviously the better team but WAS has been playing very good defense this season and it's been overshadowed by a horrible offense. ATL has potent offense but both their pass and rush defense are statistically below average, almost breaking the bottom 10 in both cases. IMO if WAS could sustain some drives (I know, big question mark here), I think they have a chance. This might be the upset game of the week.
Should I roll with Green Bay? I just don't trust Seattle with Stafford, Smith, and possibly Calvin back. Seattle is not a good team.
KenDawg19 wrote:Where's the love for Atlanta this week? They are one of the better teams I have left and showed some life against the Saints on Monday.
I was looking at it and Atlanta doesn't quite match up with WAS all that well. Don't get me wrong, ATL is obviously the better team but WAS has been playing very good defense this season and it's been overshadowed by a horrible offense. ATL has potent offense but both their pass and rush defense are statistically below average, almost breaking the bottom 10 in both cases. IMO if WAS could sustain some drives (I know, big question mark here), I think they have a chance. This might be the upset game of the week.
Should I roll with Green Bay? I just don't trust Seattle with Stafford, Smith, and possibly Calvin back. Seattle is not a good team.
Two shutouts at home against other terrible teams, but with that said I'd prolly roll with the Pack. I faced this same decision in my Last Man Standing pool and went with a homer pick, but I wouldn't feel right recommending them to anyone else
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by Dawinner127 » Fri Nov 06, 2009 1:10 am 
