i need help bad jennings vs. balt or s.smith vs. dallas.

[coronaman]

i need the win bad any help would be appreciated, jennings vs. balt. monday night (he has been hit or miss wondering if he will have a big game) or start s.smith from the giants vs. dall. i keep making the wrong moves so if someone can help me out that would be great.

[Stitch]

Smith. Baltimore gives up very little yardage to downfield receivers.

[coronaman]

i thought about that but dont you think there are alot of recievers in ny?......but jennings has been a disappointment all year...thanks

[THEOT]

Smith. Baltimore gives up very little yardage to downfield receivers.

Agreed, Driver will get most of the catches underneath. Go with Smith, he's their possession guy.

[ampant]

I would roll with Jennings. This is a must-win big game at home for the pack. Comparing Jennings and Smith over the past 5 weeks, they are about even in targets/receptions (Jennings has 41/25 to Smith's 42/27)

But Jennings has done a lot more with his opportunities. . . ripping off 366 yards and 2 tds to Smith's 275/1.

The Packers go deep a lot. Rodgers is my QB, so I can tell you that I can't remember a game where he didn't have a long strike for a score. He's the #1 fantasy QB on a team that throws it a LOT. I would rather have Jennings in that situation (plus it makes MNF more exciting).

Matchup-wise it's pretty close. Vs fantasy WRs, Dallas has allowed 7 fewer yards, and BAL has allowed 1 fewer TD.

Either are probably a solid play, but I would roll with Jennings.

viewtopic.php?f=19&t=463459

[coronaman]

wow thanks ampant, that was alot of help. thanks again.

[ampant]

wow thanks ampant, that was alot of help. thanks again.

happy to help. . . there are never guarantees, but I find it helpful to break down the stats from recent weeks rather than just relying on kneejerk one-line responses. I don't respond to a ton of posts, but when I do I try to make sure I provide statistics-based reason why I am giving the advice I give.

You're welcome and Good luck this week.

[phluux]

I'd go with Jennings. I'm a Raven fan so I've been watching Baltimore all season. Their corners are very, very weak so I expect to see Green Bay throw a lot and beat them downfield.

[latsprewell20002000]

I would roll with Jennings. This is a must-win big game at home for the pack. Comparing Jennings and Smith over the past 5 weeks, they are about even in targets/receptions (Jennings has 41/25 to Smith's 42/27)

But Jennings has done a lot more with his opportunities. . . ripping off 366 yards and 2 tds to Smith's 275/1.

The Packers go deep a lot. Rodgers is my QB, so I can tell you that I can't remember a game where he didn't have a long strike for a score. He's the #1 fantasy QB on a team that throws it a LOT. I would rather have Jennings in that situation (plus it makes MNF more exciting).

Matchup-wise it's pretty close. Vs fantasy WRs, Dallas has allowed 7 fewer yards, and BAL has allowed 1 fewer TD.

Either are probably a solid play, but I would roll with Jennings.

viewtopic.php?f=19&t=463459

See now this is a hell of an answer to a post. Great job man!!