Metroid wrote:Well regardless of whether you think he's ready or not he should still take the money. I do not understand what he hopes to prove in Washington that is worth risking setting himself and his family for life. He is being offered the world right now, there is no guarantee the world will be there this time next year. One freak play and his NFL career is over before it even begins.
He will purchase the same insurance that Matt Leinart purchased before he came back for his Senior year. I can't remember the exact specifics, but if he got hurt and couldn't play in the NFL, his policy paid his almost $42 million over 10 years. Pretty sure that's enough to set him and his family for life.
It's not just about injury. Think about Jevon Snead, who's 2008 compares VERY similarly to Locker's 2009. Both Snead 2008 and Locker 2009 were guys with great measurables, good running ability, but were still seen as a bit raw as a passer. Both were guys who, as far as draft stock goes, really surged at the end of the season kind of coming almost out of nowhere to go from someone that wasn't even on draft talk radars to being one of the best prospects of the next year's draft, almost overnight in week 8 or 9.
Both guys chose to come back, instead entering the next year as one of the top pro prospects and were expected to really show the nation just how good they are.
Snead's draft stock is now but a shell of what it once was. That's because these "raw" guys could get away with it when they were the sheik out of the spotlight picks that could have several mediocre weeks that got ignored because no one was really paying attention to them. But the next year, in the national spotlight as one of the top prospects to start the year, that same kind of thing won't fly. Locker's passing numbers this year are barely better than Snead's, yet Snead has fallen off the map and Locker hasn't. A big part of that is that Locker is the "hey there's this guy you're not talking about" pick and Snead entered the year with a lot of publicity.
Locker could slip by with some mediocre/poor performances this year because no one was paying attention, and really only looked at him when all of the sudden it was "oh hey that Locker kid had another big game this week". That won't fly next year.
He should go pro. Not because I necessarily think that he won't perform next year, but rather because unlike this year, he'll actually HAVE to perform every game rather than just flash the tools whenever he feels like it. If he has the same season next year that he did this year, his draft stock will fall, just like Snead's.