Something to be learned from this year, and every year really, just go with chalk. Your chances vastly improve by just picking the higher seeds and riding them till the end. Sure major points are gained by picking those early upsets, and you have to try for on or two in the early rounds, but gambling on getting the middle to late round upsets right just isn't worth the risk. I mean the worst ranked team in the final four is #4, then you have two #2's and a #1. All #1's made it to the Sweet 16, and all but one to the Elite 8. In the Elite 8 the worst ranked team was #7 Florida, all other teams were ranked above #4. That's basically all chalk. What to take from this? Pick chalk early, gamble on a mid ranked team or two in the middle rounds, and at least one #2 making it to the final 4.