moochman wrote:Matt, I would be a little concerned that the Stillers will try to establish a better run game due to the absence of Ben early, the loss of Holmes, and maybe even a little anger toward Belligerant Ben. The pass game could be seriously de-emphasized reducing the stat potentional for BB.
ADP as a stat has to be taken in context. What sites are these stats compiled from and when. This early in the season there are more oddball ADPs, like TO. Should Owens end up somewhere like New England, and his stock shoots way up.
I think that the idea that they will attempt to run more is more of a "concern" for Ben's fantasy stats than Holmes leaving but even then I don't necessarily think it will give him a huge hit to his fantasy stats. He did a lot of his damage last season with just passing a whole lot when everyone knew they were going to pass without much of a running game to keep defenses honest. Now Roethlisberger probably won't have the sheer amount of pass attempts he had last season for a few different reasons, but he's a guy who can put up good, solid numbers without high pass attempts. Last season only Philip Rivers had a higher yards per attempt than Big Ben did. He's not going to be an elite QB by any means, but considering where he's being taken and what his potential upside is when he does come back, he's worth taking for sure as a high upside QB2.