FantasySportsMaven wrote:PPR adds value to him. I see him mid second round especially if dyanasty or keeper league as TJ doesn't have much left in the tank and I think McCluster plays a slot and Bush type role.
What has TJ done (or not done) to make you think he doesn't have much left in the tank? He's had 2700+ yards and 27 TDs in the last two years... albeit with the Jets OL. Yes he turns 32 before the season starts, and the dropoff is going to happen at some point (because it always does with RBs)... but he has shown virtually no signs of slowing down.
Regarding Charles: I think he is an upside pick if you can get him late 2nd/early 3rd round, especially in a PPR league. I think that KC is going to have to run the ball, mostly because they don't trust Cassell. I also think that KC is going to give him every opportunity to see if he can be a Chris Johnson-type back.
I also think that TJ will get a share of the carries as well.... but there will be enough carries in that offense that Charles can put up good numbers. I think his ceiling is to perform like a mid-to-low RB1, with a pretty high floor of a RB3/flex starter.
Ideally, he's a guy that I can pair with one of the "elite 4" RBs to go with a stud WR or 3rd RB at the 2nd/3rd round swing picks. But I don't think that he's a guy that will make it that far in a lot of drafts... and because I won't reach for a player that early in the draft, he probably won't end up on too many of my rosters this year.