bagobonez wrote:I really like him too, and would be surprised if he doesn't finish top 3. Having said that, if I can get Brent Celek a full round or 2 later, I'm going to wait, which is what i did in my 12 team league. Celek had 900 and 8 TD's last year, and I expect him to duplicate or improve upon those numbers in 2010 with Kolb. I don't see Finley having a drastically better year than 900 and 8 TD's, so I can't justify taking him a round or 2 earlier than guys like Celek and Witten.
I think this is a mistake. Given their respective prominence in their offenses, I think Finley is extremely more likely to return value than Celek. Celek is much more likely to come back to the pack and even if he doesn't, I see Celek's upside as equal to Finley's downside with Finley's upside being WR1 numbers.
Passing on Finley only to draft Celek a round or two later is to be too clever by half IMO.