1. Clayton (16 targets, come on. I've heard Sam Bradford is one heck of a QB too, so far it seems true.)
2. Collie (A Gonzo is injured again, Collie is in the slot for at least a couple weeks, but still competes with Wayne, Clark, and Garcon for TDs... 10/11, that's a pretty reliable WR, QBs like that kind of reception percentage)
3. NaaNee (I have Floyd, who was targeted about as much as NaaNee, but didn't do as much with it. One game does not tell who the WR1 will be)
4. Lloyd (I had him for a couple weeks a couple years ago. He's had BIG games then been a dud, then gotten injured PLENTY of times. You don't know if D Thomas will take over at some point either, more risk than the above three, but good upside)
I think Mike Williams in SEA has more upside than Lloyd, as far as being an 'obvious #1' on a team. I'm a little Iffy on #1 and #2, they could easily be reversed, I just feel that Clayton will be targeted every game, and Collie can get lost if Dallas Clark has a big day, or Reggie Wayne has a big day, you get the point.
I'm reversing 1 and 2. This is a tough decision. I'm making the same decision this week. Collie or Clayton, Finkel and Einhorn.
-- Clayton's upside: more targets, newly motivated, higher YPC, deep threat, great schedule
-- Clayton's downside: unpredictible QB situation, might get double teamed from now on.
-- Collie's upside: more rz visits, higher YAC, higher reception %, reliable QB situation, great schedule, last years breakout had the name "austin" as well.
-- Collie's downside: slot position is less likely to have huge games than the guys running the sidelines, could be a non-factor if other talented players have big days.
I did what I always do when I can't decide between two guys, I read their Wikipedia profiles. I'm going to bet on Collie #1, and Clayton #2. I heard someone say Collie could be like Welker, but I think Dallas Clark is that guy already. Anyway, that's my gamble. Good luck.