Thanks for the help with mine. I think Bradshaw/Lloyd is overpaying for AJ today. Considering that I've had a mancrush on the Texans offense for three seasons now (owned Slaton two years ago, AJ and Schaub last year, Foster this year), that's saying something. I don't believe that Royal displaces Lloyd as the #1 target anytime soon. I don't believe the Broncos will slow down any, because throwing is their only choice. I don't believe that Moreno coming back will suddenly give them a running game (less than 3.0 ypc even before Moreno got hurt). What I do believe is that at some point, defenses are going to say "beat us 10 times underneath instead of once over the top", and that's where I think Lloyd takes a hit in value. I also believe that Orton is a notoriously bad finisher (happened last year, happened with the Bears), and that will hurt Lloyd's value as well.
My take is that you've got to make a decision on Jennings for the rest of the season. If you believe his numbers will get back close to what they should be (and it ain't happening this week if Rodgers is out), then you can make this deal and be ok. If you don't, then you can't give up two starters for one, not even AJ. Lloyd may not put up top 5 numbers the rest of the way, but he'll still get his share in that offense. Good luck!