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Trying to imitate PLindsey

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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby ZeroSum » Thu Oct 14, 2010 4:35 pm

many thanks for the effort. i am willing to risk it.
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby Dawinner127 » Thu Oct 14, 2010 5:46 pm

Great job Biju! I was always a fan of Plindsey's DST rankings. Here's to hoping yours works out just as well, if not better ;-D
A win next week and all is forgotten.
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby crashpad » Fri Oct 15, 2010 6:38 pm

Thanks for the time you put in. We are all jonesing for PLindsey, but those of us who use it also understand that it isn't perfect and the more weeks the better the info is. Keep it coming!!!
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby hifiguy » Fri Oct 15, 2010 7:02 pm

Just wanted to send out a big thanks for trying this. As someone who who juggles the "D" week to week this is great stuff. PLindsey was a huge asset and I'm sure you will be too. I look forward to more data and better results. Good Luck and thanks again!
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby moochman » Sat Oct 16, 2010 4:04 pm

Dawinner127 wrote:Great job Biju! I was always a fan of Plindsey's DST rankings. Here's to hoping yours works out just as well, if not better ;-D


What him said. Gracious my friend. ;-D , stay thirsty \_/
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby JavaDude » Mon Oct 18, 2010 1:19 pm

Thanks for sharing your hard work with us biju. Do these results take kickoff and punt returns for TD's into account?
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby biju » Mon Oct 18, 2010 4:37 pm

JavaDude wrote:Thanks for sharing your hard work with us biju. Do these results take kickoff and punt returns for TD's into account?


Yes, although it's tough to get accurate results on KRTDs and PRTDs this early in the season.

I'm planning on having an "accountability" follow up on this where I discuss what went right and what went wrong and how to detect and avoid the ones that didn't pan out. A quick preliminary look at this had me hitting about 10 of these within 5 spots of where they were expected to be, although an equal number of them missing the mark considerably (which we will discuss soon enough).

My schedule for the next week's defensive scoring:

- Tuesday: a quick recap of the results, where I succeeded and where I failed.
- Wednesday: a review of the raw data, how it could be data mined to give better results, what would not have mattered regardless of data mining, and which direction we'll push to try to garner more accurate results.
- Thursday: Week 7 effort with the new metrics.

I hope to follow this through the rest of the season, adding into Tuesday's post each previously used variation of the numbers to make sure we're going in the right direction instead of the wrong direction.

:-o
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby Dr.Bloodmoney » Wed Oct 20, 2010 2:42 pm

So how we like the 49ers this week?
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby Lucky7 » Wed Oct 20, 2010 4:52 pm

Dr.Bloodmoney wrote:So how we like the 49ers this week?


I like the niners a lot and was planning to target them on WW, but then I found out that Bouman is starting for Jax, on a short week, at Arrowhead. I think I like KC D more ;-D
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby biju » Wed Oct 20, 2010 4:59 pm

I'm behind in posting, but I have the accountability metrics at home as well as a potential minor fix (which doesn't necessarily move the needle a bunch, but the subtle tweak allowed data mined results to come up about 0.8 spots better).

And I've essentially automated the process so cranking out the stats won't take more than 10 minutes, most of which will be used to type of the post and make the formatting pretty.

Expect all three posts (two in this thread and a new thread) to be completed tonight. ;-D
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