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Trying to imitate PLindsey

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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby biju » Tue Nov 01, 2011 8:36 am

Please note: Unless you are looking for week 10 numbers, this isn't the post you're looking for!

Here are the normalized (see below for details) projections for Week 10, 2011.

Code: Select all
Baltimore Ravens       94.6
Kansas City Chiefs     77.0
Cleveland Browns       76.6
Washington Redskins    74.3
Buffalo Bills          73.4
San Francisco 49ers    72.1
Detroit Lions          69.2
Houston Texans         67.9
Indianapolis Colts     65.8
Cincinnati Bengals     65.4
Oakland Raiders        64.0
New England Patriots   63.5
Seattle Seahawks       63.1
Green Bay Packers      62.5
St. Louis Rams         60.8
Philadelphia Eagles    60.8
Arizona Cardinals      60.4
New York Giants        60.4
San Diego Chargers     60.4
New York Jets          60.4
Tennessee Titans       59.4
Chicago Bears          58.7
New Orleans Saints     57.5
Atlanta Falcons        57.3
Jacksonville Jaguars   56.3
Miami Dolphins         56.3
Denver Broncos         51.4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers   51.3
Carolina Panthers      49.3
Pittsburgh Steelers    48.8
Minnesota Vikings      48.0
Dallas Cowboys         45.1


A NOTE about Normalization: Normalized projections are derived by taking the highest possible scoring defensive matchup (best DST matchup between two teams) and the lowest possible scoring defensive matchup, creating a scale of 0-100 and assigning value to each matchup score to give an overall rating so you can make relevance decisions instead of simply trading up to get higher on the chart.

Enjoy.
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby biju » Tue Nov 01, 2011 8:42 am

Please note: Unless you are looking for week 11 numbers, this isn't the post you're looking for!

Here are the normalized (see below for details) projections for Week 11, 2011.

Code: Select all
Buffalo Bills          80.2
New York Jets          79.3
Seattle Seahawks       78.8
San Francisco 49ers    75.2
Cincinnati Bengals     73.9
Chicago Bears          73.4
Detroit Lions          73.2
Baltimore Ravens       72.5
Cleveland Browns       72.4
New York Giants        72.1
St. Louis Rams         71.2
Washington Redskins    67.6
Green Bay Packers      66.2
Minnesota Vikings      61.0
Dallas Cowboys         60.8
Denver Broncos         59.0
Jacksonville Jaguars   58.9
Kansas City Chiefs     58.1
Philadelphia Eagles    57.7
New England Patriots   55.9
Tennessee Titans       55.9
Atlanta Falcons        55.4
Oakland Raiders        53.9
San Diego Chargers     53.6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers   50.5
Arizona Cardinals      48.7
Carolina Panthers      44.5
Miami Dolphins         40.6


A NOTE about Normalization: Normalized projections are derived by taking the highest possible scoring defensive matchup (best DST matchup between two teams) and the lowest possible scoring defensive matchup, creating a scale of 0-100 and assigning value to each matchup score to give an overall rating so you can make relevance decisions instead of simply trading up to get higher on the chart.

Enjoy.
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby biju » Tue Nov 01, 2011 8:44 am

Please note: Unless you are looking for week 12 numbers, this isn't the post you're looking for!

Here are the normalized (see below for details) projections for Week 12, 2011.

Code: Select all
Houston Texans         86.2
San Francisco 49ers    80.6
Washington Redskins    80.2
Arizona Cardinals      78.4
Buffalo Bills          75.2
Cincinnati Bengals     73.9
Chicago Bears          72.1
Baltimore Ravens       70.3
San Diego Chargers     67.1
Dallas Cowboys         66.7
New York Giants        65.8
Kansas City Chiefs     63.6
Detroit Lions          62.9
New England Patriots   61.7
Seattle Seahawks       61.7
Denver Broncos         59
Green Bay Packers      57.8
New York Jets          57.2
Tennessee Titans       57.2
Carolina Panthers      57.1
New Orleans Saints     57
Oakland Raiders        55.9
Miami Dolphins         55.4
St. Louis Rams         55.4
Atlanta Falcons        55.3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers   55
Minnesota Vikings      54.7
Pittsburgh Steelers    52.4
Philadelphia Eagles    52.3
Indianapolis Colts     49.6
Cleveland Browns       49.1
Jacksonville Jaguars   44.9


A NOTE about Normalization: Normalized projections are derived by taking the highest possible scoring defensive matchup (best DST matchup between two teams) and the lowest possible scoring defensive matchup, creating a scale of 0-100 and assigning value to each matchup score to give an overall rating so you can make relevance decisions instead of simply trading up to get higher on the chart.

Enjoy.
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby biju » Tue Nov 01, 2011 8:47 am

Please note: Unless you are looking for week 13 numbers, this isn't the post you're looking for!

Here are the normalized (see below for details) projections for Week 13, 2011.

Code: Select all
San Francisco 49ers    96.4
Baltimore Ravens       84.2
Philadelphia Eagles    76.6
San Diego Chargers     73.7
New York Jets          73.0
Washington Redskins    69.4
Detroit Lions          69.3
Oakland Raiders        68.9
Minnesota Vikings      67.8
Houston Texans         66.5
Chicago Bears          65.8
Cincinnati Bengals     65.4
Buffalo Bills          65.3
Green Bay Packers      64.4
Kansas City Chiefs     63.5
New England Patriots   61.4
Cleveland Browns       60.8
Seattle Seahawks       60.8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers   60.7
Arizona Cardinals      60.4
New York Giants        59.5
Jacksonville Jaguars   58.4
Dallas Cowboys         56.8
Miami Dolphins         55.9
Carolina Panthers      52.9
Atlanta Falcons        51.7
New Orleans Saints     50.4
Denver Broncos         49.0
Pittsburgh Steelers    48.8
Tennessee Titans       46.9
St. Louis Rams         46.9
Indianapolis Colts     40.2


A NOTE about Normalization: Normalized projections are derived by taking the highest possible scoring defensive matchup (best DST matchup between two teams) and the lowest possible scoring defensive matchup, creating a scale of 0-100 and assigning value to each matchup score to give an overall rating so you can make relevance decisions instead of simply trading up to get higher on the chart.

Enjoy.
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby biju » Tue Nov 01, 2011 8:52 am

Again folks, my apologies for not being able to do this week by week, but I do hope this ends up being an ok compromise.

A few major things to note here.

1. As always, these weeks will not account for major shifts in personnel or any injuries
2. Since we won't refresh the numbers each week be sure to note heavy outliers from the numbers after week 10 as these are the ones that have the higher potential of being "bad" going forward as well.
3. Remember that this is simply a tool and you are in charge of your own team. ;-D

Best of luck to everyone with their season. I'll be drinking beer on a beach somewhere on the East Coast of Australia...
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby ramble2 » Tue Nov 01, 2011 11:51 pm

biju wrote:I'll be drinking beer on a beach somewhere on the East Coast of Australia...

Sounds completely awesome, have a great time. Eat a kangaroo steak while you're over there. It's pretty good (a little sweeter than beef).

Thanks for all the work on the FF front. ;-D
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby shawngee03 » Thu Nov 03, 2011 9:04 am

with byes almost done, its time to start stashing DEFs. my leagues give big points to DEF...good games can get up to 30 points, so playoff DEFs are important. so drop those bench WRs and pick up an extra DEF for teh stretch run

crappy team opponent14 15 16

Sea St L Chic SF
St L Sea Cinci Pitt
Wash NE NYG Minn
Miami Philly Buff NE
Indy Balt Tenn Hous
Denver Chic NE Buff

i already have Buff in 2 leagues, so ill be holding them for those nice matchups w Miami and Team Tebow Turnover.
NE also has 2 nice matchups and is probably available, but their def sucks....so thats a risky pickup. and the rest of the DEfs are probably alreayd owned. but if not then go get them
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby biju » Thu Nov 03, 2011 9:25 am

biju wrote:1. As always, these weeks will not account for major shifts in personnel or any injuries


I was shocked to see Arizona so high on the list, although it makes sense on paper. The Rams have been terrible and Arizona's defense has been good against bad teams. The concern here is that John Skelton is looking like he'll start and that probably means the Cards defense will be on the field often. That might mean increased sacks, but in leagues where scoring goes negative for high points and/or yardage this might be a bad option.
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby Team Gooch » Thu Nov 03, 2011 10:55 am

shawngee03 wrote:with byes almost done, its time to start stashing DEFs. my leagues give big points to DEF...good games can get up to 30 points, so playoff DEFs are important. so drop those bench WRs and pick up an extra DEF for the stretch run



I agree. I already grabbed 2 extra defenses. I now have 3 defenses & barring injuries, I should be able to ride them through the playoffs. I have Dallas, Phil, & Cin. Hell, I may even drop my backup QB to pick up Clev for weeks 10 & 11

Wk 9 Dallas vs Sea
Wk 10 Phil vs Arz, or Clev vs STL
Wk 11 Dal @ Wash or Clev vs Jax
WK 12 Dal vs Mia or Cinn vs Clev
WK 13 Phil @ Sea or Dal @ Arz
WK 14 Phil @ Mia
WK 15 Cinn @ STL or Clev @ Arz
WK 16 Cinn vs Arz
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Re: Trying to imitate PLindsey

Postby shawngee03 » Wed Nov 23, 2011 9:56 am

for week 12 im going Wash against Sea....soley based on the fact that Sea sucks
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