Pick 1: D.Jax vs Atl [Chance for big plays. Doesn't do as much with Kolb however.] Bess @ GB [GB's defense is ridden with injuries; also might focus more on Marshall.]
Pick 1: Hernandez vs Bal Shiancoe vs Dal
Last edited by bluecheezit on Sat Oct 16, 2010 6:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
D. Jax is nice, but is either has abig game w/ a touchdown and few reception or is a total bust. (too risky against two guys you know who are getting ALOT of looks, above)
Hernandez vs Shiancoe is tougher in PPR. I think Hernandez will get more looks from Brady. But, Shiancoe has a good chance of eating up big yards against a rough Dallas Defense. I'd go Hernandez to be safe as Brady recognizes the talent with this TE.
Non-PPR:
Smith (NYG) + D. Jax (PHI)
targets are good, but touchdowns are were the money is in non-ppr and D. Jax has alot better odds than Bess does for the TD.
TE is roughly the same here, although Hernandez has the lead in PPR because of the # of targets, I like Shiancoe more in the non-PPR because of the lousy Dallas D that will likely pay too much attention to Moss and Harvin in the red zone.
I prefer DeSean Jackson (I heard he was dinged-up but cannot find him on any INJ reports) and Aaron Hernandez. Assuming that your league gives bigger points for longer TDs (as is the trend) then Jackson is your best bet for at least a "homerun" this sunday or possibly 100+ yds imo. Sure, ATL's D has been more than solid this year, resulting in their 4-1 record, TOPS in the NFC, but Jackson is a special talent with that "extra" gear that opposing corners and safeties just do not posess, as evidenced by his numerous long TDs last season (like 5/6+ over 50yds! -- SICK). Bess has NEVER had any game that rivaled one of Jackson's top performances from last season, to wit, DJax did just as well with Kolb under center as with McNabb last yr, he didn't miss a beat. Meanwhile, Bess is STILL the #2WR in MIA, a run-first offense if there ever was one, and while Marshall may pre-occupy what segment of the Green Bay secondary is still healthy, none of them can hang with Marshall downfield, and let's face it, double-coverage is nothing new to BMarsh anyway. Watch, as Henne finds Marshall for his 2nd receiving TD of the season...
As for Shiancoe v Hernandez, I simply do NOT like the way Favre is playing -- regardless of why; be it age, disinterest, pass-blocking or lack thereof --- and now with Randy Moss back in Minny stealing potential targets away from Shiancoe, I simply cannot advise you to start him even over rookie TE Aaron Hernandez, who Belichick thinks enough of that he has actually SCRIPTED SPECIFIC PLAYS for him -- and with now Randy gone, expect Hernandez to enjoy even more targets from Brady, who trusts him completely. The Pats face hated AFC rival Baltimore, and eventhough the Ravens have a top-3 pass defense (depending on where you look for such stats), Orton and the Broncos were able to expose Baltimore's weaknesses vs the pass, and you know that Belichick has already consulted that game-FILM in an effort to successfully game-PLAN a solid, efficient passing attack this weekend -- enter Aaron Hernandez, who besides perrenial 110+catch WR Wes Welker, is Brady's favorite target, even in the red zone.
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by bluecheezit » Sat Oct 16, 2010 1:22 am 
