I feel most confident about Mathews. San Diego's pass game is hurting with no Floyd and Gates is banged up too. I really think this is the week where Mathews gets a lot of carries and gets a chance to shine. I finally think SD runs the ball on a consistent basis. Next, I'm slightly leaning towards MJD just because he is such a great player. Although this matchup really scares me. KC is great against the run, and if there is no Garrard (and possibly no Trent Edwards), they are going to put 9 guys in the box and key in on MJD. Without a respectable passing game in Jacksonville, teams are going to be playing the run every down, which scares me. I think Torain is a consistent play because Washington makes an effort to run the ball and McNabb is a threat to open up the run game. So where do you guys think I go from here?
Its sucks to say it, but I think I would sit MJD. The Jags offense is bad right now & if they have to start Bouman at QB then things are just going to be even worse. Like you said, the Chiefs D has been good against the run and they will stack the box not giving MJD any room to run.
I like your thinking with Mathews. I would also go with Torain. Chicago gave up a couple running TDs for the third time this season and he will be a big part of the Skin's offense for at least another week.
MJD & Matthews. They are two starting RBs going into the season, whereas Torain wasnt. That shows the caliber of player.
Torain is playing a top 3 run Defense in CHI whos home and only allows 84yds/game on the ground.
Neither MJD or Matthews' team can afford to play like a slouch, so look for them to be running hard. Not to say that will sway the outcome of the NFL game, but it will weigh on the points they put up in fantasy.
You can never bench MJD, especially when they will be playing with a 2nd or 3rd string QB. Plus he made a compelling argument earlier this week to see more touches.
I hate flip flopping. I've lost out on more points b/c of last minute switches than I care to recall. But, here I go with one. The more I think about it, the more I don't agree with my advice. Start MJD over Torain. Just for match up alone. But MJD is also the better caliber person and this is one decision where that does come into play quite a bit.
This is a tough call and luckily I am in a position this week where I have no other option but to play MJD. But in your case i actually like MJD over Matthews. Matthews is not a picture of health right now with what may still be a lingering ankle problem and he has been running around with a what appears to be a Serta Perfect Sleeper on his arm. that coupled with the fact that the Patriots D routinely gives up huge points to Fantasy QB's and WRs so I love Rivers in this game as i predict it will be a shoot out. On the other hand MJD is the offense in buffalo and if the Jags have any hope of winning or at least not being completely embarrassed for the second week in a row they will have to get MJD going early. I don't predict monster numbers for Pocket Herc this week but with the amount of touches he is bound to get you have to give him the benefit of the doubt.
Now to totally shake things up...I feel best about Torain. Regardless of the superior raw talent which I think MJD obviously has proven he has year after year and Mathews has, although he has yet to reach his full potential, Washington is the only team with a truly balanced attack at this point and under these circumstances. The Chargers have relied on the pass both because they have been so good at it AND because they CAN NOT effectively run the ball, especially with less threat of the pass with their injured receivers. They only had one really productive day running the ball, as I recall, a few weeks back when Tolbert surprised the other team's defense with his effectiveness. If Mathews gets close to a hundred yards it would only be with close to 40 touches. Trust me, I live in SD and have watched the Chargers flail in the run game every week over the last 3 or 4 years.
Jacksonville, believe it or not is in a similar situation as the Chargers. Due to circumstances surrounding injuries it looks like run, run, and more run. The difference is...MJD is a bowling ball stud with a low center of gravity. With 9 in the defensive box, all he has to do is hit the wall, find a little seam, keep his balance and boom...off to the races. There will be lots of 0-2 yard gains and a few 30 yard or more gainers. I would therefore go with Torain and MJD.
H2H Non-PPR 1RB/2WR No Flex 12 Team League
QB(1)- Schaub, Flacco RB(1)- Rice, S. Jackson, Forte, Charles WR(2)-R. Moss, C. Johnson, Jennings TE(1)- Z. Miller, Watson D/ST(1)- Broncos, Dolphins K(1)- Reed
Yea tough descision as with me...to bench MJD or not definately as of now looks like bauman will get the nod in KC..i think right now i like Torain, hes finally had a good game and is looking to improve and if you look closely the bears have stopped the smaller lighter RBS torrain will definately gain some yardarge and probably a TD because Mcnabb can actually throw the ball and Shanahan is soo commited to the run, the one thing with Matthews is i can see the NE game being a shootout, i personally wouldnt start matthews until he has had a really good game, to me he has yet to prove to me he's a beast and also cant forget about that ankle that has killed him fantasy wise, Tolbert will still get the goal line carries as well which you got to watch out for...I know they will stack the box vs MJD but last week against TEN when they were continually giving MJD the ball they were able to still move the ball, as long as they dont fall behind big early then i think i like MJD more, also with a new QB you have got to think there will be PLENTY of dumpoff passes to MJD, lookin at career stats looks as if hes only averages lik 7 yards per throw but this game could get VERYYY ugly soon, who knows maybe del rio will aim to please the star because he complained but i am expecting 23+ touches for him which is personally what i like the best about this..hope this helps..