Now that the draft is over, what are your thoughts on the new rookies? Knowing their situations definitley change my opinions.
D. Thomas - RB - Mia - This guy was a clear winner fantasy-wise. With R. Brown and R. Williams likely leaving town, he will likely be a feature back with close to 250 touches. Can't ask for more than that from a fantasy perspective.
M. Ingram - RB - NO - He enters as part of a committee, but with the committiee crumbling (Bush leaving? PT injury prone?), he should get some good carries in a great offense. Plus, NO paid a price to move up and draft him. I can't imagine them doing that unless they plan on giving him the ball quite a bit.
S. Vereen - RB - NE - This guy could quietly be a steal this year. With the cluster of RBs in NE, Vereen could emerge as the most talented back. I plan to keep on eye on news out of Pats camp and see what they plan to do with him.
AJ Green - WR - Cinci - A big time talent, but unfortunately entering a crappy situation. The QB situation is likely to be a rookie (Dalton), a end of the road Palmer, or a FA veteran. Not a great situation. I think landing in Cinci really hurt his fantasy stock short term, but I would anticipate he gets a ton of targets.
J. Jones - WR - Atl - Great landing spot for Jones. He'll see single coverage with Roddy on the other side, and has a great QB to work with. He won't be the #1 in Atlanta, but could be a #1b to Roddy's #1a.
I tend to stay away from rookie QBs, so I will let someone else chime in with their thoughts on the new crop of QBs.
Newton is probably in the late 1st Round range (8-12)
Locker would be a 2nd or 3rd round pick depending on how your leaguemates rank their QBs and how many QB-needy teams you have. He could be anywhere from the second to fourth QB taken.
For dynasty, my top 10 is: 1. AJ Green 2. Julio Jones 3. Mark Ingram
4. Daniel Thomas 5. Greg Little 6. Ryan Williams 7. Roy Helu 8. Mikel Leshore 9. Shane Vereen 10. Leonard Hankerson
I think the top 3 are near can't miss prospects. Thomas was number 4 given the situation he was drafted in. Talent wise, I think he more around 8-10. I'm very high on Little's talent but we'll see if his attitude has improved since college. He reminds me a bit of Hakeem Nicks. Ryan Williams has a lot of talent but will struggle to produce for at least 2-3 years in Arizona given how bad the Cards are. Helu and Vereen are two other guys who benefited greatly where they were drafted. Hankerson made the top 10 for me based on his talent alone. He definitely could be a #1 WR in the NFL given his intangibles. He did break Michael Irvin's record at the U for TDs.
Alex Green GB - Value will shoot up if Grant is cut, which is still highly possible.
How do you see that as "Highly Possible"? He's rushed for +1200 yds in 08 and 09, and probably would have had at least 1000 in 2007 when he rushed for 950 in only 7 games as a starter. Dude has been nothing short of consistant and has shown to be a great back.
If anything, Jackson will be out the door and Green and Starks would be battling for the #2 spot, in what I believe will become a RBBC.
My thoughts on some rookies...not in any particular order
AJ Green WR CIN- Rookie QB if Palmer doesn't come back, and Ochocinco "mentoring" this kid....I think its going to be 3-4 years before this guys potential is actually shows.
Julio Jones WR ATL- What's NOT to like about this guy? Other than he drops a lot of passes.... I think he'll end up taking over the #2 WR spot for ATL within the year over Jenkins. A great QB in Ryan and Roddy White on the other side, as long as he can hold onto the ball his speed and rout running paired with his size, he has some very big potential.
Jonathan Baldwin WR KC- IMHO, he's got the perfect supporting cast to become a WR with immediate impact in the NFL and for KC. He's got the size that a QB needs to just throw up the ball and his WR to go get along with big play capability. Cassell also tossed over 3000 yds, 27 TDs and only 7 INTS last year...its like those sprinkles you use on cake, you don't have to use them...but it makes it sooo much better.
Austin Pettis WR StL - Here's a guy who's no stranger to hard work, had to prove himself at Boise St. And With a limited amount of WR talen in the Lou, this young man has a great oppertunity to make an impact if not this year, then probably within 2 years. He's also 6'3 and 209 pounds...thats a pretty big target for a 2nd year QB. If he can get on the same page with Bradford, this could be a future combo that people talk about for years.
Alex Green GB - Value will shoot up if Grant is cut, which is still highly possible.
How do you see that as "Highly Possible"? He's rushed for +1200 yds in 08 and 09, and probably would have had at least 1000 in 2007 when he rushed for 950 in only 7 games as a starter. Dude has been nothing short of consistant and has shown to be a great back.
If anything, Jackson will be out the door and Green and Starks would be battling for the #2 spot, in what I believe will become a RBBC.
My thoughts on some rookies...not in any particular order
The one thing I know is it matters absolutely 0 what a RB did 2 or 3 years ago. Shelflife for RBs is very short, and teams don't want to pay these guys anything. Grant is paid more than he's worth. He's got obscene roster bonuses this year the team can avoid by cutting him right after the work stoppage ends. GB is frugal. If they thought they could survive with Starks/Green, they would do so. The fact there's not going to be a camp now means they won't get a chance to course-correct. In other words, they can't sign another FA if Green shows he isn't ready or Starks gets dinged because there's just not enough time. So I'm resigned to the fact they will keep Grant around for 2011. It will be a timeshare between him and Starks this year. But Grant is gone in 2012.
Alex Green GB - Value will shoot up if Grant is cut, which is still highly possible.
How do you see that as "Highly Possible"? He's rushed for +1200 yds in 08 and 09, and probably would have had at least 1000 in 2007 when he rushed for 950 in only 7 games as a starter. Dude has been nothing short of consistant and has shown to be a great back.
If anything, Jackson will be out the door and Green and Starks would be battling for the #2 spot, in what I believe will become a RBBC.
My thoughts on some rookies...not in any particular order
The one thing I know is it matters absolutely 0 what a RB did 2 or 3 years ago. Shelflife for RBs is very short, and teams don't want to pay these guys anything. Grant is paid more than he's worth. He's got obscene roster bonuses this year the team can avoid by cutting him right after the work stoppage ends. GB is frugal. If they thought they could survive with Starks/Green, they would do so. The fact there's not going to be a camp now means they won't get a chance to course-correct. In other words, they can't sign another FA if Green shows he isn't ready or Starks gets dinged because there's just not enough time. So I'm resigned to the fact they will keep Grant around for 2011. It will be a timeshare between him and Starks this year. But Grant is gone in 2012.
Now THAT I see being more probable. I could even see the Packers trying to negotiate with Grant like they did Hawk. I think that we are going to see a slow INCREASE of RB's "shelflife" ( I like that word) as more and more teams go to the RBBC approach. Starks show cased his talents late in the year, even McCarthy mentioned that he saw a RB competition being possible going into this year. I just can't see the Packers cutting the only RB they have that's been established. I'd like to see Jackson come back, he was a great 3rd Down back, but with them drafting Green its hard to say. Never really thought about the lack of camp and OTA's in that aspect before...now you got me thinking about it...thanks
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by Stelly » Thu May 12, 2011 3:41 pm 
