I'm all over the place on this question. I drew the #1 pick in a keeper league, and have to decide between ADP, CJ2K, and Rice. I already have Charles as my keeper (I lose my 3rd rounder). McCoy and Foster are off the board. Here is my thinking on the three. Straighten me out on a pick.
AP -- Longest track record of stud numbers. Not as big of a PPR bump as the other guys. With McNabb about as accurate as Uncle Rico, and Harvin/Berrian as the only other 'threats,' he could be facing a lot of 8 man fronts. Of course...he always has.
CJ -- A down year last year (compared to his insane 2009), and is holding out. He's missing time in an already shortened camp, and could take a few games to get into a groove. Weakest team of the three.
RR -- Riskiest pick in name, but maybe the most safest pick. Best team, got a pro bowl FB, and lost his TD vulture in McGahee. But, I don't want to make a 'risky' pick at #1 overall, and be kicking myself when the other two guys are putting up top 2 numbers, like is expected.
In any case, I'm ok because I'll pair whoever with Charles and form a damn good backfield. The guy who has Foster picks at #3, so he's going to be some good competition. I can't risk the better guy slipping to him, and I don't want to overthink it.
Thoughts? Leave a link and I'll help!!