Need help w/ 3rd pick draft strat

[ASUslacker]

First this post might be a bit long so thanks in advance for anyone who reads this and helps out.
It is also based on my rough tier rankings.

FYI, so this is for my big money league (150 buy-in is alot for me anyway), so I am taking a conservitive route with this draft.
It standard scoring TDs = 6
10 yds rush/rec = 1
25 pass = 1
NO PPR etc.

Its 12 teams, snake style draft, with the following set-up:
1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, Def, K, 1RB/WR/TE 5Bench

Ok here is my rough strat for the Draft

ROUND 1
I'm taking one of the three RB Kings in this order:
AP --> Foster --> CJ
I playing conservitive so no Vick (i would take Vick in a Free league)

ROUND 2
In this round I would want another Top Tier RB (9), but in mocks i have never gotten one
Rice
Jamaal Charles
Mendenhall
LeSean McCoy
Turner
Jones-Drew
McFadden
Steven Jackson
Gore

So I would want a Top Tier QB (6) in this order:
Vick --> Rogers --> Brady --> Manning --> Rivers --> Brees

If no RBs or QBs I would take a Top Tier Reviecer (3) in this order
A Johnson --> C Johnson --> R White

If everyone is gone then I would dip into the 2nd tier of RBs in this order:
Forte --> Blount --> Bradshaw

ROUND 3
If possible I would redo my 2nd round strat but if all those guys are gone I would look for another 2nd Tier RB:
I have not picked an order yet for this tier of RBs yet
Ryan Mathews
Peyton Hillis
Felix Jones
DeAngelo Williams
Cedric Benson
Jahvid Best
Ryan Grant

I have done a couple of mocks and ended up with what I think is a good first three rounds:
Foster/Rivers/Hillis and AP/Rivers/Blount
Any thoughts or critiques or suggestions? (espeically with my 2nd Tier RBs and order)

[hickdubious]

I've got the second pick in my big money league. I agree that you need to grab two RBs with two of your first three picks. WR is deep this year imo.

You should definitely add Shonn Greene to your list of top tier RBs. He's been falling to me with the 23rd pick. I'm projecting a big year for him.

[Hippo45]

Are all touchdowns worth 6 points, including passing TDs? If so, then you need to bump up quarterbacks.

Your 1st round strategy looks good.

In the 2nd round if QBs get 6 pts for a touchdown, then you have to go with a QB there because the other people at the end will for sure take a top tier QB. Otherwise, go with a top WR.

In the 3rd round, I would go with a top WR over a RB because I don't care for the running backs that are going in the early 3rd round. ADP shows that you would end up with Ryan Mathews with your 3rd round pick. I don't think that is good value. I would much rather have Mike Willams (TB)/ DeSean Jackson.

In the 4th round, I would go with a RB. According to ADP, Felix Jones would still be available in the 4th. So I would be targeting him.

In the 5th round, I would go with either a QB (if you haven't already) or a WR. Target Josh Freeman for QB's (starting to go earlier every single mock I do) and Percy Harvin for WR. You could potentially hold off drafting a QB for another round or two if you like to have a dual QB strategy. I like the Freeman/McNabb this year for that strategy. In which case you might want to look at picking a RB in this round.

Potential team 1-5 (if QBs get 6pts TD)
CJ
Brady
DeSean Jackson
Felix Jones
Percy Harvin

Potential team 1-5 (if QBs get 4pts TD)
CJ
Reggie Wayne
Mike Williams
Felix Jones
Josh Freeman

Now the people target might be different than who I am targeting in my drafts. This is just an example. You also have to factor in how bullish your competitors are on certain players and whether or not you want to reach.

Simple breakdown of strategy
Draft RB, QB, WR, RB, WR (QBs= 6pts)
Draft RB, WR, WR, RB, [RB,WR,QB] (QBs=4pts)

[petedog9]

Heres one thing to watch closely as the draft unfold to you. With the 3rd pick, you want to pay close attention to the needs of the #1 and #2 slots. By recognizing the needs and thus predicting the picks (positionally anyway) of the #1 and #2 slots, you can gain some value on the flip side of those two guys. EXAMPLE: If the #1 and #2 guys both grab a AB early, and you haev yet to get one. You can let that QB fall to you on the flip since you know they wontbe taking one and target another position.