Week 1 Matchup - What are my odds?

[zachtheax]

10 Team Yahoo Standard Scoring, Non-PPR

My Team:
Qb- Josh Freeman
Wr- Mike Wallace
Wr- Mike Williams
Wr- Steve Johnson
Rb- Darren McFadden
Rb- LeSean McCoy
W/R- Knowshon Moreno
Te- Jermichael Finley
K- Sebastian Janikowski
Def- Cleveland (vs Cin)

His Team:
Qb- Philip Rivers
Wr- Marques Colston
Wr- Julio Jones
Wr- Plaxico Burress
Rb- Adrian Peterson
Rb- Peyton Hillis
W/R- James Jones
Te- Antonio Gates
K- Alex Henery
Def- Giants (vs Was)

I am playing Moreno in my flex over Ingram (bad matchup/1st game), not sure if he will change up his roster at all anymore. Yahoo projects me like 106-105 win, what are my odds, 60/40 or worse? I'm hoping SD-Min game ends with a 6-3 score so he loses all those pts lmao.