He threw for an astounding, rookie 1st game (or is it all time rookie) record 422 - yes.
He exceeded all expectations for a QB making his 1st NFL start - yes.
He played pretty well on the road all things considered - yes.
He has the ability to run the ball - yes, but still only managed 18 yards on the ground on 8 carries (2.3 YPC) - he did score a TD (on a play I'm sure Riveria cringes at watching).http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=59H4jmcE ... re=related
He did this against what appears to be among the worst secondaries in the NFL - yes.
He benefits from having a really, really good WR to throw to - yes.
There's another decent WR opposite of Steve Smith - no, although Olsen & Shockey are both decent at the TE position.
The Panthers are going to throw ball 58% of the time - not if they can help it.
The Panthers are going to attempt 590+ passes this year - in all likelyhood, no (that would have been 5th in the NFL in 2010, tied for 5th in the NFL in 2009, 5th in 2008, NFL teams avearge in the neighborhood of 1000 pays per season - give or take a few, with the personel they have in place - and the money spent on Williams, I'm fairly confident in saying they'd like to run the ball more than 410 times.)
Newton is going to run the ball 8 times a game (128 on the season)? In all likelyhood, no (Vick's season high is 123 back in 2006, Vince Young's high is 93 back in 2007, and they have 2 pretty good RB's in Williams & Stewart).
The 2 TD passes to Smith were high degree of difficulty passes - no. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84xTZdfShEg
the 26 yarder, no pressure simple toss into single coverage.http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v3n3NA6h ... re=related
the 77 yarder - he was so wide open it's not even funny & Newton nearly allowed the DB to catch him w/ no loft on the ball.
He was good on 3rd down - not really (3 of 7, sacked twice)
He was good in the 2nd half - not really (15/24, 224, 0 TD, 1 INT, 75.7 QB rating)
Was he good when the Panthers were leading - no not at all (3/6, 50% completion, 39 yards, 1 INT)
IMO, hitching one's wagon to a rookie QB on what figures to be a pretty bad team after 1 (granted magical) week, regardless of his his precieved potential for fantasy dominance at some point, is probably not a good idea.
Another thing to consider is that mobile (ie. running) QB's tend to open themselves up for an abundance of hits, hence making them more prone to injury (think Vick or either Young - Steve or Vince).
Considering the opponent that's rolling into Carolina this weekend, I would seriously temper expectations. Green Bay is going to be the other end of the spectrum for the Newton litmus test.
He doesn't have the benefit of seeing Arizona every week - and even the Cardinals seemed to have figured him out a litle bit in the second 1/2.
Best case I think he's capable of putting up Vince Young type numbers this year & if all goes perfectly Mike Vick type numbers down the road.