The analyzer works well the more data we have in it and we only have 4 weeks so far. That data can be skewed by only one bad game (Bal blowing up Pit) or one great game (Vick with 4 turnovers vs. NYG). But as the season wears on, the cream should rise to the top. I'm getting nervous about people placing too much stock in these numbers. It's entirely possible that Vick and McCoy catch fire against the 49ers and shoots this analysis down. What do the stock market analysts say? Prior performance is no guarantee of future results?
In general, if you have Darren McFadden, you start him every week irrespective of one or two bad games here and there. But if you have Ryan Mathews and Felix Jones who are not as reliable week in and week out, you look for any advantage you can find and statistics may help. But I'm not a Las Vegas odds maker and have no reputation to stake here.
As I've said before I think the Jets are a high quality defense that have held up well despite some stiff opponents this season already. I think they're worth picking up. And yes, from the analysis, SF vs. a recently turnover happy PHI looks a lot better than PIT that struggled against BAL and a weakened IND now facing a pretty high quality HOU offense.
Good luck all