mzkp54 wrote:Is it PPR? I'd say Gronk, Graham, Julio, Jennings, and Calvin.
I think you'd have to strongly consider Murray at least though. While these would be 5 great players to start with, this leaves you without a RB, and you don't have much flexibility when you draft. I believe in Murray to have another great year. If you were to keep Murray, I think you'd have to swap him for Julio. Megatron, Gronk and Graham you are keeping no matter what. Jennings has been amazing these last couple years, and he shouldn't slow down.
Offering a different opinion, but if you were to keep the 5 listed above, that would still be a great foundation.
How many WRs can you start each week? If its 3, I might consider keeping Julio. If its 2, there is no way you can afford to have that many points sitting on your bench (Graham/Gronk & Julio/Jennings).
That being said, I would likely keep Murray over Julio.
#1You should have at least 1 RB going into your draft, as 5 keepers/team is going to severely deplete the RB talent depth. If you don't, you are forced to use your top 2 picks on RBs. Using a simple top 200, RBs left at pick 71 (14 teams x 5 keepers/team takes out the others) include the likes of CJ Spiller, Isaac Redman and Shonn Greene. While those guys could be legit RB2s, I'd hate to have them leading my backfield. Especially when you consider that your other RB would be from a pool of guys like James Starks, Donald Brown and Doug Martin. It would also mean you have to use your 3rd round pick on a QB, and have the joy of picking from guys like Cutler, Flacco and Griffin III (if someone doesn't reach for him early). In contrast, keeping Murray would allow you a lot more flexibility to pick the best value player in round 1. That means if someone has let a solid talent go, you could snag a very good QB, WR or RB in the 1st round, whatever position offers the most talent.
#2Murray should have a good season in 2012. Jones is too injury prone, and fumbles too much for Garrett to rely on him when he has a better option in Murray. As an bonus, Dallas' addition of Lawrence Vickers should prove very beneficial to the Dallas running game. Vickers has led Jamal Lewis (2x), Peyton Hillis, and Arian Foster to 1000+ yard seasons in 4/5 past years, and figures to do so again for Murray.
#3As great as Julio is, Matty Ice has a connection with Roddy White, and sees him as the #1 WR on the team. Until White falters in the role, due to age or injury, Julio will have a hard time taking over the top spot on that depth chart. He still makes an amazing WR3, assuming you can start 3.