Originally I was going to take Ryan Mathews at #6. In light of last nights events, that won't be happening. I will likely be selecting Chris Johnson at 6. If he were to fall to me at #19, is he worth the gamble knowing he will miss some games? The upside is huge.
QB: Cam Newton, Colin Kaepernick RB: Jamaal Charles, Darren Sproles, Knowshon Moreno, Montee Ball WR: Jordy Nelson, Larry Fitzgerald, Vincent Jackson, Cecil Shorts, Justin Blackmon TE: Martellus Bennett K: Mason Crosby D/ST: Cleveland
By the time you draft, you should have an idea about Mathews' progress. I'd think the 19th pick is about where he will go, despite missing a couple of weeks. He hurt his collarbone, not his knee, so go for it.
Also agree, Mathews is great value at that point in the draft. However, he may not be around that late by September though, since there will probably be enough progress in his recover that he's at least wearing pads and that will probably increase his draft position. He won't be taking hits obviously, but he'll be at practice.
In a standard league, Julio's still there. In a PPR, it's a crapshoot - he's probably still there, but there's a possibility he's gone. Don't forget, anyone picking before you in the 2nd picked behind you in the 1st, so they're more likely to go for reliability at this point. Their first pick likely wasn't a hugely reliable RB so they'd be going for a more solid WR who will give them consistency. If they went WR they're probably looking at a RB before they run out of time. If they went QB - well, who knows what they'll do at this point. My guess though is he's still there at #19.