dgan wrote:The problem with Houston historically is just the lack of passing TDs. He gets you fantasy points with tons of yardage and a TD every 3 weeks. He's not really a threat for a 15TD type season. Houston's low passing TD numbers always surprise me when I evaluate the previous season stats.
My biggest concern with him will be that his ypc will start going down, so those yardage totals will start dropping. I have him as my 13th WR, so I think he's an ok pick in that spot. And he does have upside, which is unusual for a WR of his calibre. He's just not expected to be a top 5 guy anymore.
Who the heck is really a threat for a 15 TD season anyway? Judging Andre by those standards is kind of unfair seeing as how only three WRs surpassed 10 TDs last season. He's usually good for 8 TD's, enough for him to breach top 10 PPR when combined with his reception and yardage totals. Sure, he doesn't have 15 TD upside, but Megatron is in a class of his own at this point. The biggest concern should still be injury and only injury, especially after the non-contact hamstring tear he suffered last year. The last two years he did get injured, he was on pace for yet again great seasons. In 2010 he put up 1200 yards and 8 TDs in only 13 games. In 2011 he was on pace for around 1100 yards and admittedly a lower TD total but those are more fluky than anything else. I think in the mid-late 3rd round is a good place to take him, seeing as how he still has enough upside to merit being taken within the top 10. Also, using the good ol eye test, he looked absolutely fine catching that 40 yard bomb in his latest preseason match. It's a risk vs. reward type deal, if he stays healthy through out the season you could have a top 5 guy on your hands for the price of a late 3rd round pick.