OK WE HAVE OLD SCHOOL SCORING AND I LIKE IT THAT WAY. PASSING STATS ARE SIMPLY 1/2'd SO TD=3, 20yds= 1pt. ALSO NOTE WE HAVE A 2rb, 2wr, and a rb/wr slot to start. 12 team league. (again please take the scoring and the roster position into consideration when you answer...as that's why my question may be result in different answers than similar posts). Draft is Saturday (Aug 27 so I'm not gonna see much more preseason)
Bachelor #1: TOM BRADY... GOOD: He's Elite. He's Consistent. He's got even MORE weapons than last year (Lloyd).... BAD: Has 2nd hardest Strength Of Schedule (31st for qb's). He was only #4 last year in our scoring system... but still right near the top - ... Also I like Ryan's Value later on but can't guarantee I get him without a big 5th round reach.
Bachelor #2: MEGATRON.... GOOD: He's the BEST. He's #1 last year by a mile at WR and #5 year before even without Stafford. Better EVERY year. Also strength of schedule is Excellent (#5/6 regular season)......BAD: His success is limited to Stafford's Health (though not entirely as we've seen 2 yrs ago). WR is a deep position and we only need 2 to start ( I like to start 3rb). Madden Curse.
Bachelor #3: CJ2K ..... GOOD: Has looked awesome in pre-season. RB is not that deep of a position. Health History Good.... BAD: Sucked much of last year though could be attributed to hold out issue and teams stacking box. Strength of Schedule is just as bad as Brady (#30)....3rd worst in league.
At the moment I'm leaning toward Brady or Megatron... but with low depth at RB CJ2K must be considered. He's the last one I like for a #5 overall pick.
That's a tough call. With Megatron and Brady you know what you're getting, whereas with Johnson it's the true definition of high risk, high reward. Since passing stats are halved, Brady (while elite) will likely not get you as many points as Megatron. If Stafford's healthy, Megatron is a sure bet to haul down huge receiving yards and TDs.
It depends on your gut belief about who would be available later on. Personally, I can think a few elite quarterbacks (Brady, Brees, Rodgers, Stafford, etc.). But with Megatron, there's not another WR anywhere near his class. The problem is that you could probably find a decent WR option later on, maybe even a sleeper pick, but once the elite QBs are gone that's it. You're left with a roll of the dice, or just a "good" QB.
You're right, RB is possibly the thinnest position in fantasy football. It's tough to get a truly elite player. But as we've seen before, big producers can come out of nowhere. DeMarco Murray is an example of that last year, and Rashad Jennings may do the same depending on the MJD situation. Once a team picks their go-to guy at RB, that player is a good bet to put up at least good numbers. While there are few elite RBs, if you're smart with your drafting you could still get a solid one later on.
I don't know. For me it's clearly between Brady and Megatron. If it helps, it would be Brady for me (hands down) if passing points were worth 3/4 rushing and receiving points. But as it is, you could probably get a guy like Ryan or Eli a little later that could still give you great production, but there is only one receiver in the whole game who does what Calvin Johnson does, and that's Calvin Johnson.
I would have to go with Megatron, with Brady as a close second personally.
I'd go Megatron, he's in his own tier all by himself. You can get a pretty solid QB later in the draft. Though Brady is one of the best, with your scoring system a QB in the top 10 (which you will be able to draft) is good enough as long as you have Megatron. WR is deep this year, but there is Megatron...and then everyone else. CJ2K is nice too, and you need a a good RB or two on your roster that will touch the ball 20+ times a game, but you will find some serviceable RBs in the 3rd and 4th round, and then get a couple guys a little later with upside (Jennings, Ryan Williams, hell even Peyton Hillis who I love as a flex player every week). Crennel and Dabol in KC have a hard on for Hillis, especially in goal line situations. They also said they will likely get him and Charles involved together to keep Charles healthy. Best of luck!
2010 Tremont FF (auction, PPR): League Champion 2010 NRFL League Runner Up: 9-7 2011 NRFL (keeper, contracts, PPR) 5th place finish: 8-6 "Nobody in football should be called a genius. A genius is a guy like Norman Einstein" - Joe Theisman
Thanks for replying to my post. If you were a few picks further down in the order, I would say Brady, but at 5 I would have to go Megatron. The nice thing is you are almost smack in the middle of the draft order, meaning that you could end up with Murray or Charles in the 2nd round. Chris Johnson just has too many question marks surrounding him IMO. He's looking better in camp, but his preseason games aren't translating that to production. Whatever it was last year - hold out rust, teams stacking the box, getting PAID then coasting, he just wasn't the same guy that was EXPLOSIVE. Take it from a Lion's fan, Calvin Johnson is a WEAPON and even if Stafford doesn't throw for 5,038 yds and 41 TDs again, Megatron is what turns the wheels for that offense. He would be my choice.
There's far too much depth, coupled with your format to go with Brady here. If you go with Megatron, you need make sure to pair him with either Charles (hopefully), Lynch or Sjax on the comeback, Murray won't be there (you don't want him he's had durability issues since college). Through-out various mocks this year, I've noticed the RB well completely drying up at around 2.09. CJ4.24 is also a solid choice, seeing as how the WR position is even deeper than QB position this year (WR2s like Lloyd, Colston, Maclin, Bowe, Stevie are all falling to the 5th and 6th rounds in most drafts). With there being such a premium on RBs, coming out of rounds 1 and 2 with two solid RBs is the recipe for a winning season. You can go with either Megatron of CJ here and come out on top, but you need to plan out your draft strategy accordingly following whomever you choose.
Here's the combo I've been doing in alot of mocks...Megatron/Stafford/Charles...with this your at least getting the best of all three worlds, yes, Charles will be a timeshare with Hillis but he should see decent numbers either way if healthy. Stafford easily put up Rodgers/Brees stats last year so he's already an elite QB.
I would not take Calvin in the first round. The WR position is very deep this year. I would go RB in the first round and then WR/WR in the 2nd/3rd round. If you are a gambler, I would go with McFadden at 5. It is a very risky move ,but if he stays healthy he will be an absolute beast. He has looked very explosive in the preseason.
McFadden has been gone in almost all mock drafts I've been in...its usually MJD & CJ2k and honestly I don't want any of those 2 as my first pick. Just can't convince myself that CJ will perform like he's done in the past. Besides, its starting to become a pass happy league, RBs just aren't used as much as they used to. Just my 2 cents.